SCM — Stellus Capital Investment

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Stellus Capital Investment

Stellus Capital Investment Corporation is a business development company specializing in investments in private middle-market companies. It invests through first lien, second lien, unitranche, and mezzanine debt financing, often with a corresponding equity investment. The fund prefers to invest in US and Canada. The fund seeks to invest in companies with an EBITDA between $5 million and $50 million.… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$9.13
Market Cap$263M
Shares Outstanding28.9M
P/E (Forward)8.91
P/E (TTM)10.95
Price/Sales (TTM)2.62
vs. Analyst Target+15.0% to analyst PT
Profit Margin23.59%
Operating Margin (TTM)71.69%
Revenue (TTM)$100M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-68.40%
Dividend Rate1.5%
Analyst Target Price$10.50 (6 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $25.9M $20.2M $25.9M $21.2M
2021 $42.7M $33.6M $42.7M $6.93T
2022 $45.4M $14.5M $20.9M $15.9M
2023 $53.2M $17.5M $21.2M $16.0M
2024 $82.7M $45.8M $51.2M $47.5M
2025 $67.0M $27.0M $32.0M $28.6M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $19.8M $10.1M
Sep 2025 $17.4M $6.7M
Dec 2025 $15.7M $5.2M
Mar 2026 $24.0M $1.7M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership4.2%
Institutional Ownership14.5%
% of All Funds Holding0.69%
Number of Funds Holding57

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$9.38Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$11.51Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$12.75Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$13.32Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$11.52Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$12.74Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$13.23Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$9.80 resistance 1.58x 1 months ago
$12.70 resistance 1.53x 2 months ago
$13.00 resistance 1.43x 6 months ago
$14.40 resistance 1.26x 7 months ago
$15.30 resistance 1.69x 13 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (54 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.33% 0.03% 50.00% 6.02% -3.38%
1 Day 0.08% -0.07% 48.15% 10.53% -7.88%
1 Week 0.78% 1.08% 62.96% 14.91% -13.51%
2 Weeks 1.11% 1.49% 60.38% 18.22% -35.25%
1 Month 0.44% -0.14% 49.06% 36.59% -55.40%

Next earnings: May 11, 2026

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.0%64.3%14
Feb-1.5%42.9%14
Mar-2.0%50.0%14
Apr2.3%71.4%14
May-1.4%30.8%13
Jun-1.8%30.8%13
Jul3.1%76.9%13
Aug0.7%61.5%13
Sep-2.4%46.2%13
Oct-0.7%53.8%13
Nov4.4%76.9%13
Dec-1.6%35.7%14

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.03% 52.0% 639
Tuesday 0.04% 50.2% 701
Wednesday -0.09% 47.6% 697
Thursday -0.01% 48.2% 683
Friday 0.13% 54.8% 684

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 14.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 4.2%

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Stellus Capital Investment (SCM) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for SCM on Trend Edge →