RPID — Rapid Micro Biosystems Inc

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates RPID Bearish with a Setup Score of 83, net conviction 70, actionability 99. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score83
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction70
Actionability99 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Rapid Micro Biosystems Inc

Rapid Micro Biosystems, Inc., a life sciences technology company, provides products for the detection of microbial contamination in the manufacture of pharmaceutical, biologics, medical devices, and personal care products in the United States, Switzerland, Germany, Japan, and internationally. The company offers Growth Direct platform, which includes growth direct system, proprietary consumables, lab information management system connection softwa… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$1.67
Market Cap$83.8M
Float28.9M
Shares Outstanding45.7M
Price/Sales (TTM)2.38
vs. Analyst Target+299.2% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-145.55%
Operating Margin (TTM)-152.99%
Revenue (TTM)$35.2M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$6.67 (3 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $16.1M -$37.1M -$8.1M -$32.0M
2021 $23.2M -$73.5M -$7.7M -$69.3M
2022 $17.1M -$60.8M -$8.5M -$60.4M
2023 $22.5M -$52.5M -$5.5M -$49.3M
2024 $28.1M -$46.9M -$109,000 -$43.5M
2025 $33.6M -$47.1M $7.6M -$42.7M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $7.8M -$11.5M
Dec 2025 $11.3M -$12.5M
Mar 2026 $8.0M -$14.3M
Jun 2026 $8.1M -$12.9M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership10.1%
Institutional Ownership46.1%
Short Float2.9%
% of All Funds Holding0.38%
Number of Funds Holding33

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$1.84Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$2.71Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$2.90Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$1.83Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$2.81Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$2.84Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$1.89Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$2.10 resistance 1.11x 0 months ago
$4.20 resistance 1.81x 4 months ago
$1.00 support 3.12x 18 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (21 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.65% -0.33% 38.10% 16.51% -2.99%
1 Day 0.07% -1.46% 28.57% 21.05% -12.78%
1 Week 1.64% 0.00% 47.62% 45.07% -25.88%
2 Weeks 4.81% -3.33% 38.10% 75.23% -28.50%
1 Month 10.26% 2.07% 50.00% 257.80% -37.03%

Next earnings: October 26, 2026 (60 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.94% 37.5% 240
Tuesday 0.44% 45.3% 265
Wednesday 0.53% 48.7% 263
Thursday 0.13% 48.8% 256
Friday -0.50% 41.9% 258

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 46.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 10.1%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings11
Net Value-$474,054.157
Net Shares Change351,827
% of Float1.2%
C-Suite Filings9
Clusters Detected3

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Longitude Capital Partners II, LLC -$442,411.214 1 1 sell
Spignesi Robert G. Jr. PRESIDENT AND CEO -$271,168.064 3 3 sell
WIRTJES SEAN M CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER -$122,785.163 3 3 sell
Wilson John J. Addington CHIEF OPERATING OFFICER -$80,100.93 3 3 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-02-03 – 2026-02-10 5 4 -$721,308.262 3 C-suite
2026-02-20 – 2026-02-20 3 3 -$237,795.304 3 C-suite
2026-03-12 – 2026-03-12 3 3 -$147,452.405 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-03-12 Wilson John J. Addington CHIEF OPERATING OFFICER -$41,466.714 Transaction at $4.32, now -61.3%
2026-03-12 WIRTJES SEAN M CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER -$32,299.388 Transaction at $4.32, now -61.3%
2026-03-12 Spignesi Robert G. Jr. PRESIDENT AND CEO -$73,686.303 Transaction at $4.11, now -59.4%
2026-02-20 WIRTJES SEAN M CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER -$67,687.442 Transaction at $3.92, now -57.4%
2026-02-20 Spignesi Robert G. Jr. PRESIDENT AND CEO -$148,911.893 Transaction at $3.89, now -57.0%
2026-02-03 Longitude Capital Partners II, LLC -$442,411.214 Transaction at $2.20, now -24.2%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Rapid Micro Biosystems Inc (RPID) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for RPID on Trend Edge →