RBLX — Roblox Corp

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates RBLX Bearish with a Setup Score of 44, net conviction 46, actionability 42. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score44
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction46
Actionability42 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Roblox Corp

Roblox Corporation operates an immersive platform for connection and communication in the United States and internationally. It offers Roblox Client, an application that allows users to explore immersive experience; Roblox Studio, a free toolset that allows developers and creators to build, publish, and operate immersive experiences and other content; and Roblox Cloud, which provides services and infrastructure that power the platform. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$37.56
Market Cap$27.60B
Float643.1M
Shares Outstanding670.0M
P/E (Forward)192.31
Price/Sales (TTM)4.85
vs. Analyst Target+31.0% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-17.61%
Operating Margin (TTM)-13.27%
Revenue (TTM)$5.69B
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$49.21 (35 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $924M -$253M $684M -$221M
2021 $1.92B -$492M $1.42B -$421M
2022 $2.23B -$924M $1.68B -$762M
2023 $2.80B -$1.15B $229M -$1.05B
2024 $3.60B -$935M $2.80B -$670M
2025 $4.89B -$1.07B $3.82B -$802M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $1.36B -$256M
Dec 2025 $1.42B -$316M
Mar 2026 $1.44B -$246M
Jun 2026 $1.47B -$183M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership5.5%
Institutional Ownership86.3%
Short Float3.7%
% of All Funds Holding8.91%
Number of Funds Holding784

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$44.51Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$58.85Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$78.34Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$55.72Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$59.70Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$78.19Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$59.30Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$55.00 resistance 1.08x 0 months ago
$81.00 resistance 1.48x 6 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (22 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -1.56% -0.23% 50.00% 29.35% -23.49%
1 Day 0.31% 0.57% 59.09% 42.23% -26.85%
1 Week 1.32% -1.43% 40.91% 50.88% -31.65%
2 Weeks -0.38% -2.33% 45.45% 49.18% -38.28%
1 Month 3.37% 1.56% 52.38% 50.51% -36.40%

Next earnings: October 18, 2026 (52 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.23% 51.2% 256
Tuesday 0.32% 49.1% 283
Wednesday 0.12% 52.7% 281
Thursday -0.15% 53.5% 275
Friday -0.23% 50.5% 275

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 86.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 5.5%

Founder-led management: David Baszucki (Founder, President, CEO & Chairman of the Board)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings60
Net Value-$82.8M
Net Shares Change-457,073
% of Float-0.1%
C-Suite Filings46
Clusters Detected6

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Chakravarthy Arvind Chief People & Systems Officer -$10.0M 3 4 sell
Reinstra Mark Chief Legal Off. & Corp. Sec. -$6.5M 3 3 sell
CHOPRA NAVEEN K. Chief Financial Officer -$1.8M 1 1 sell
Rawlings Amy Marie Chief Accounting Officer -$433,320.062 2 2 sell
Mastantuono Gina +$160.565 1 1 buy, 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-11-05 – 2025-11-13 5 4 -$15.4M 4 C-suite
2025-11-24 – 2025-12-02 7 7 -$14.8M 6 C-suite
2026-02-11 – 2026-02-24 12 7 -$39.9M 11 C-suite
2026-04-02 – 2026-04-15 3 3 -$2.8M 2 C-suite
2026-05-22 – 2026-06-02 9 7 -$6.1M 8 C-suite
2026-08-20 – 2026-08-25 8 6 -$4.7M 8 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-02-11 Chakravarthy Arvind Chief People & Systems Officer -$6.6M Transaction at $69.06, now -45.6%
2026-02-13 Mastantuono Gina +$160.565 Transaction at $39.55, now -5.0%
2026-02-24 Chakravarthy Arvind Chief People & Systems Officer -$1.3M Transaction at $61.61, now -39.0%
2026-02-18 Reinstra Mark Chief Legal Off. & Corp. Sec. -$3.8M Transaction at $63.94, now -41.3%
2025-11-24 Chakravarthy Arvind Chief People & Systems Officer -$2.0M Transaction at $95.23, now -60.6%
2025-11-24 CHOPRA NAVEEN K. Chief Financial Officer -$1.8M Transaction at $95.23, now -60.6%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Roblox Corp (RBLX) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for RBLX on Trend Edge →