RAND — Rand Capital Corp

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates RAND Bearish with a Setup Score of 50, net conviction 40, actionability 62. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score50
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction40
Actionability62 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Rand Capital Corp

Rand Capital Corporation is a business development company specializing in subordinated debt with warrants or preferred equity and venture capital investments. Within private equity, the firm specializing in capital growth and lower middle market investments. Within venture capital, it specializing in early to late-stage private businesses. It does not prefer to invest in real estate sector. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$10.73
Market Cap$30.6M
Float602K
Shares Outstanding3.0M
P/E (Forward)53.19
Price/Sales (TTM)5.57
Profit Margin-2.66%
Operating Margin (TTM)58.77%
Revenue (TTM)$5.5M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-45.90%
Dividend Rate1.2%

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $3.5M $743,766 $3.0M $2.1M
2021 $17.2M $15.8M $16.6M $15.8M
2022 $682,436 -$881,849 $612,476 -$545,827
2023 $9.1M $6.5M $8.1M $6.8M
2024 $11.2M $8.8M $10.1M $8.8M
2025 $4.5M -$8.0M $4.8M -$7.9M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $1.6M -$2.2M
Dec 2025 $1.3M $1.1M
Mar 2026 $2.3M -$367,469
Jun 2026 -$1.1M $367,469

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership76.0%
Institutional Ownership1.6%
Short Float0.8%
% of All Funds Holding0.08%
Number of Funds Holding7

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$10.23Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$11.25Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$14.16Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$14.67Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$11.22Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$14.48Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$14.67Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$13.80 resistance 1.99x 7 months ago
$23.50 resistance 2.24x 16 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (86 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.68% 0.00% 29.07% 13.23% -42.47%
1 Day -0.29% 0.00% 37.21% 20.39% -34.45%
1 Week -1.13% -0.30% 41.86% 12.92% -51.51%
2 Weeks -2.29% -1.38% 37.21% 10.00% -58.08%
1 Month -1.03% -2.11% 40.00% 40.00% -59.79%

Next earnings: October 24, 2026 (59 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan6.9%54.3%46
Feb3.6%52.2%46
Mar-0.2%39.1%46
Apr-0.9%40.4%47
May-0.0%36.2%47
Jun-0.6%29.8%47
Jul2.4%46.8%47
Aug-0.9%37.0%46
Sep-1.9%32.6%46
Oct0.9%50.0%46
Nov0.2%28.3%46
Dec2.2%54.3%46

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.04% 25.0% 2212
Tuesday -0.02% 25.2% 2401
Wednesday 0.16% 24.2% 2399
Thursday 0.14% 23.6% 2353
Friday 0.20% 25.9% 2337

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 1.6%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 76.0%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings1
Net Value+N/A
Net Shares Change1,030
% of Float0.2%
C-Suite Filings0
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Gusky Adam Samuel +$15,246.575 1 1 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-09-16 Gusky Adam Samuel +$15,246.575 Transaction at $14.80, now -27.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Rand Capital Corp (RAND) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for RAND on Trend Edge →