PRVA — Privia Health Group Inc

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Privia Health Group Inc

Privia Health Group, Inc. operates as a national physician-enablement company in the United States. The company collaborates with physician practices, health plans, and health systems. It also offers technology and population health tools to enhance providers' workflows; management services organization that enable providers to focus on their patients by reducing administrative work; and single-TIN medical group that facilitates negotiating power… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$21.74
Market Cap$2.88B
Float113.3M
Shares Outstanding126.0M
P/E (Forward)25.58
P/E (TTM)134.32
Price/Sales (TTM)1.31
vs. Analyst Target+45.3% to analyst PT
Profit Margin0.97%
Operating Margin (TTM)1.23%
Revenue (TTM)$2.25B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-33.30%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$31.58 (21 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $817M $31.2M $82.6M $27.2M
2021 $966M -$188M $63.7M -$215M
2022 $1.36B -$8.6M $135M -$14.6M
2023 $1.66B $23.1M $162M $27.2M
2024 $1.74B $14.4M $177M $24.3M
2025 $2.12B $22.9M $209M $44.1M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $521M $2.7M
Sep 2025 $580M $6.9M
Dec 2025 $541M $9.2M
Mar 2026 $604M $3.1M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership6.3%
Institutional Ownership97.3%
Short Float2.8%
% of All Funds Holding3.21%
Number of Funds Holding264

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$22.68Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$23.28Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$22.79Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$23.53Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$23.45Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$22.64Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$22.58Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$24.90 resistance 1.10x 0 months ago
$19.50 support 1.25x 8 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (21 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.14% 0.00% 47.62% 1.98% -3.60%
1 Day -0.66% -1.88% 23.81% 16.07% -5.92%
1 Week -1.27% -2.05% 38.10% 13.18% -16.96%
2 Weeks -2.54% -4.99% 28.57% 20.35% -20.43%
1 Month -2.76% -5.92% 30.00% 29.89% -29.71%

Next earnings: July 26, 2026 (59 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.16% 54.2% 236
Tuesday 0.01% 48.9% 264
Wednesday -0.07% 45.6% 261
Thursday 0.28% 48.2% 255
Friday -0.09% 46.5% 258

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 97.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 6.3%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings17
Net Value-$8.6M
Net Shares Change-21,586
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings14
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Mehrotra Parth Chief Executive Officer -$5.9M 4 2 sell
Mountcastle David EVP and Chief Financial Officer -$869,438.776 5 5 sell
Fargis Edward C EVP and General Counsel -$214,756.329 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-03-02 – 2026-03-16 8 4 -$4.7M 7 C-suite
2026-05-05 – 2026-05-13 4 3 -$3.4M 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-03-10 Fargis Edward C EVP and General Counsel -$214,756.329 Transaction at $22.99, now -5.4%
2026-05-13 Mountcastle David EVP and Chief Financial Officer -$76,501 Transaction at $22.60, now -3.8%
2026-03-16 Mehrotra Parth Chief Executive Officer -$1.2M Transaction at $21.71, now +0.1%
2026-03-16 Mountcastle David EVP and Chief Financial Officer -$282,599.951 Transaction at $21.71, now +0.1%
2026-03-10 Mountcastle David EVP and Chief Financial Officer -$252,981.715 Transaction at $22.99, now -5.4%
2026-04-06 Mountcastle David EVP and Chief Financial Officer -$116,051.1 Transaction at $20.85, now +4.3%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Privia Health Group Inc (PRVA) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for PRVA on Trend Edge →