PCYO — Pure Cycle Corporation

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates PCYO Bearish with a Setup Score of 18, net conviction 31, actionability 10. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score18
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction31
Actionability10 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Pure Cycle Corporation

Pure Cycle Corporation provides water and wastewater services in the United States. It operates in three segments: Water and Wastewater Resource Development, Land Development, and Single-Family Rental. The company engages in the wholesale water production, storage, treatment, and distribution systems; wastewater collection and treatment systems; development of land into master planned communities; and construction and leasing of single-family hom… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$10.76
Market Cap$260M
Float18.6M
Shares Outstanding24.1M
P/E (Forward)56.50
P/E (TTM)17.69
Price/Sales (TTM)8.48
vs. Analyst Target-39.1% to analyst PT
Profit Margin45.80%
Operating Margin (TTM)5.09%
Revenue (TTM)$30.6M
Earnings Growth (YoY)52.80%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$6.55

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $25.9M $6.8M $7.5M $4.7M
2021 $17.1M $20.1M $10.7M $28.4M
2022 $23.0M $9.6M $16.4M $14.9M
2023 $14.6M $4.7M $8.0M $4.2M
2024 $28.7M $11.6M $19.8M $18.2M
2025 $26.1M $13.1M $16.0M $20.2M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Aug 2025 $11.2M $6.1M
Nov 2025 $9.1M $4.6M
Feb 2026 $5.2M $1.1M
May 2026 $8.2M $4.9M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership4.9%
Institutional Ownership73.7%
Short Float2.0%
% of All Funds Holding1.31%
Number of Funds Holding108

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$10.75Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$10.97Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$10.86Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$10.44Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$10.89Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$10.88Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$10.66Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$11.50 resistance 1.11x 1 months ago
$10.30 support 1.11x 2 months ago
$9.60 support 1.34x 23 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (93 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.14% 0.00% 48.39% 7.32% -9.09%
1 Day -0.24% -0.30% 36.56% 9.59% -6.36%
1 Week 0.52% 0.31% 52.17% 15.00% -20.83%
2 Weeks 0.43% -0.24% 48.91% 38.89% -12.67%
1 Month 2.19% -0.47% 48.91% 41.96% -23.43%

Next earnings: September 27, 2026 (75 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan13.6%56.3%32
Feb-0.2%43.8%32
Mar4.0%43.8%32
Apr1.9%53.1%32
May-0.4%30.3%33
Jun-1.6%45.5%33
Jul9.3%50.0%32
Aug-2.0%28.1%32
Sep-0.8%37.5%32
Oct0.8%43.8%32
Nov1.3%46.9%32
Dec2.7%53.1%32

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.00% 35.2% 1524
Tuesday 0.39% 39.1% 1665
Wednesday 0.28% 39.0% 1663
Thursday 0.27% 38.7% 1632
Friday 0.36% 38.8% 1625

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 73.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 4.9%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings1
Net Value+N/A
Net Shares Change-2,668,778
% of Float-14.3%
C-Suite Filings0
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Kozlowski Daniel R -$757,108.224 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-11-19 Kozlowski Daniel R -$757,108.224 Transaction at $11.01, now -2.3%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Pure Cycle Corporation (PCYO) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for PCYO on Trend Edge →