PAM — Pampa Energia SA ADR

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates PAM Bearish with a Setup Score of 11, net conviction 16, actionability 7. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score11
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction16
Actionability7 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Pampa Energia SA ADR

Pampa Energía S.A. operates as an integrated power company in Argentina. The company operates through Oil and Gas; Generation; Petrochemicals; and Holding, Transportation and Others segments. It generates electricity through thermal plants, hydroelectric plants, and wind farms with a 5,472 megawatt (MW) installed capacity. The company also explores for and produces oil and gas in the provinces of Neuquén and Río Negro. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$79.52
Market Cap$4.27B
Float24.9M
Shares Outstanding53.7M
P/E (Forward)6.68
P/E (TTM)7.20
Price/Sales (TTM)1.76
vs. Analyst Target+51.9% to analyst PT
Profit Margin23.58%
Operating Margin (TTM)25.60%
Revenue (TTM)$2.42B
Earnings Growth (YoY)333.30%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$120.77 (8 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.07B $124M $408M $592M
2021 $1.51B $273M $553M $785M
2022 $1.83B $456M $681M $869M
2023 $513.73B $34.49B $194.66B $199.68B
2024 $1.88B $619M $597M $1.02B
2025 $2.00B $377M $629M $1.19B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $591M $23.0M
Dec 2025 $507M $161M
Mar 2026 $573M $214M
Jun 2026 $746M $172M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.0%
Institutional Ownership10.2%
Short Float1.3%
% of All Funds Holding0.99%
Number of Funds Holding87

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$82.82Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$83.72Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$78.60Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$59.76Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$85.02Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$80.01Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$65.27Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$78.00 support 1.06x 4 months ago
$60.00 support 1.77x 9 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (68 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.21% 0.06% 51.47% 1.85% -11.99%
1 Day 0.20% 0.41% 54.41% 6.37% -8.32%
1 Week 0.92% -0.45% 47.06% 28.79% -18.25%
2 Weeks 2.39% 0.69% 54.41% 29.89% -18.22%
1 Month 2.19% 0.72% 52.24% 42.82% -21.57%

Next earnings: October 23, 2026 (59 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan2.7%58.8%17
Feb-3.6%23.5%17
Mar4.3%58.8%17
Apr-4.4%29.4%17
May2.6%64.7%17
Jun0.1%35.3%17
Jul3.6%64.7%17
Aug-3.5%50.0%16
Sep4.9%50.0%16
Oct11.5%81.3%16
Nov5.6%58.8%17
Dec1.6%47.1%17

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.02% 46.7% 795
Tuesday 0.11% 47.1% 872
Wednesday 0.12% 50.3% 869
Thursday 0.09% 50.3% 853
Friday 0.14% 51.4% 848

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 10.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.0%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings13
Net Value-$5.4M
Net Shares Change1,644,023
% of Float6.6%
C-Suite Filings7
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Mindlin Marcos Marcelo -$10.6M 3 1 buy, 2 sell
Mindlin Damian Miguel Vicepresident -$9.5M 6 6 sell
Mariani Gustavo Vice President +$4.1M 1 1 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-28 Mindlin Marcos Marcelo +$925,925 Transaction at $3.37, now +2261.7%
2026-06-02 Mindlin Damian Miguel Vicepresident -$3.0M Transaction at $3.69, now +2055.0%
2026-06-05 Mindlin Damian Miguel Vicepresident -$2.0M Transaction at $3.55, now +2138.1%
2026-05-08 Mariani Gustavo Vice President +$4.1M Transaction at $81.21, now -2.1%
2026-04-02 Mindlin Damian Miguel Vice President -$1.8M Transaction at $3.57, now +2127.5%
2026-03-23 Mindlin Damian Miguel Vice President -$1.0M Transaction at $3.41, now +2231.7%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Pampa Energia SA ADR (PAM) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for PAM on Trend Edge →