OXSQ — Oxford Square Capital Corp

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Oxford Square Capital Corp

Oxford Square Capital Corp. is a business development company, operates as a closed-end, non-diversified management investment company. It is a private equity and mezzanine firm. The firm invests in both public and private companies. It invests in secured and unsecured senior debt, subordinated debt, junior subordinated debt, preferred stock, common stock and syndicated bank loans. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$1.38
Market Cap$119M
Float46.4M
Shares Outstanding93.5M
P/E (Forward)5.62
Price/Sales (TTM)3.04
vs. Analyst Target+26.8% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-92.37%
Operating Margin (TTM)77.62%
Revenue (TTM)$39.1M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-30.90%
Dividend Rate0.4%
Analyst Target Price$1.75 (1 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $5.5M $1.7M $5.5M $1.7M
2021 $43.9M $39.6M $43.9M $794.46B
2022 -$69.0M -$85.6M -$81.4M -$85.6M
2023 $33.6M $17.2M $22.7M $17.2M
2024 $42.7M $5.9M $42.7M $13.7M
2025 $23.5M -$18.7M $19.2M -$9.5M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $7.4M $4.4M
Sep 2025 $1.7M -$2.1M
Dec 2025 $8.1M -$12.9M
Mar 2026 -$21.8M -$25.5M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership7.0%
Institutional Ownership3.5%
Short Float9.9%
% of All Funds Holding0.50%
Number of Funds Holding41

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$1.72Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$1.81Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$2.16Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$2.72Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$1.80Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$2.18Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$2.60Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$1.90 resistance 2.48x 0 months ago
$2.20 resistance 2.01x 7 months ago
$2.50 resistance 1.23x 11 months ago
$2.80 resistance 1.08x 13 months ago
$2.90 resistance 1.42x 17 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (89 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.12% 0.00% 48.31% 5.01% -3.72%
1 Day 0.04% 0.00% 49.44% 9.63% -10.29%
1 Week 0.07% 0.31% 52.81% 11.44% -11.96%
2 Weeks -0.48% 0.14% 52.81% 14.46% -49.29%
1 Month 0.66% 0.78% 55.68% 25.19% -55.71%

Next earnings: July 18, 2026 (52 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan3.4%69.6%23
Feb1.1%60.9%23
Mar-4.6%30.4%23
Apr1.1%43.5%23
May1.3%50.0%22
Jun-3.7%27.3%22
Jul0.5%59.1%22
Aug2.5%68.2%22
Sep-4.6%27.3%22
Oct-2.1%36.4%22
Nov3.1%59.1%22
Dec-2.2%30.4%23

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.08% 46.6% 1059
Tuesday -0.01% 45.8% 1163
Wednesday -0.01% 50.0% 1163
Thursday -0.06% 44.7% 1138
Friday 0.06% 48.1% 1135

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 3.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 7.0%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings2
Net Value+$333,310.042
Net Shares Change289,407
% of Float0.6%
C-Suite Filings2
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
COHEN JONATHAN H Chief Executive Officer +$166,655.597 1 1 buy
ROSENTHAL SAUL B President and COO +$166,654.445 1 1 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-21 ROSENTHAL SAUL B President and COO +$166,654.445 Transaction at $1.15, now +19.8%
2026-05-21 COHEN JONATHAN H Chief Executive Officer +$166,655.597 Transaction at $1.15, now +19.8%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Oxford Square Capital Corp (OXSQ) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for OXSQ on Trend Edge →