OXLC — Oxford Lane Capital Corp

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Oxford Lane Capital Corp

Oxford Lane Capital Corp. is a close ended fund launched and managed by Oxford Lane Management LLC. It invests in fixed income securities. The fund primarily invests in securitization vehicles which in turn invest in senior secured loans made to companies whose debt is rated below investment grade or is unrated. Oxford Lane Capital Corp was formed on June 9, 2010 and is domiciled in the United States.… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$9.97
Market Cap$973M
Shares Outstanding97.6M
P/E (TTM)22.65
Price/Sales (TTM)1.99
vs. Analyst Target+60.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin0.77%
Operating Margin (TTM)72.75%
Revenue (TTM)$488M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-77.90%
Dividend Rate2.4%
Analyst Target Price$16.00 (2 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 -$288M -$291M -$288M -$276M
2021 $293M $290M $293M $306M
2022 $130M $126M $130M $148M
2023 -$158M -$171M -$158M -$171M
2024 $307M $235M $307M $235M
2025 $431M $48.5M $431M $48.5M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Mar 2024 $162M $120M
Sep 2024 $195M $65.6M
Mar 2025 $236M -$17.1M
Sep 2025 $252M $20.9M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership3.2%
Institutional Ownership9.4%
% of All Funds Holding0.96%
Number of Funds Holding79

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$9.65Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$13.32Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$18.38Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$23.21Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$13.15Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$18.43Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$22.12Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$8.30 support 1.29x 1 months ago
$11.90 resistance 1.71x 2 months ago
$14.60 resistance 1.03x 3 months ago
$18.40 resistance 1.04x 7 months ago
$21.00 resistance 1.62x 9 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (57 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.37% 0.29% 63.16% 5.19% -3.04%
1 Day 0.84% 0.48% 61.40% 5.19% -4.67%
1 Week 0.32% 0.42% 52.63% 7.73% -19.48%
2 Weeks -1.23% -0.45% 40.35% 13.36% -22.60%
1 Month -1.54% -0.98% 42.11% 28.23% -27.40%

Next earnings: January 26, 2026

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan3.9%73.3%15
Feb-4.2%37.5%16
Mar-3.7%31.3%16
Apr3.4%62.5%16
May-1.9%40.0%15
Jun-2.5%26.7%15
Jul2.5%60.0%15
Aug-0.5%40.0%15
Sep-5.4%13.3%15
Oct1.2%66.7%15
Nov0.3%40.0%15
Dec-2.5%20.0%15

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.06% 48.5% 721
Tuesday 0.01% 50.9% 791
Wednesday 0.03% 48.5% 788
Thursday -0.13% 44.8% 774
Friday 0.01% 47.6% 773

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 9.4%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 3.2%

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Oxford Lane Capital Corp (OXLC) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for OXLC on Trend Edge →