OFS — OFS Capital Corp

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About OFS Capital Corp

OFS Capital Corporation is a business development company specializing in direct and fund investments as well as add-on acquisitions. It provides flexible capital solutions primarily through debt capital and to a lesser extent, minority equity investments serving the needs of U.S.-based middle-market companies across a broad array of industries. It does not invest in operational turnarounds or start-up businesses. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$3.39
Market Cap$44.9M
Shares Outstanding13.4M
P/E (Forward)9.20
Price/Sales (TTM)1.14
vs. Analyst Target+47.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-95.15%
Operating Margin (TTM)71.35%
Revenue (TTM)$39.3M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-6.30%
Dividend Rate0.8%
Analyst Target Price$5.00 (1 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $29.1M $3.7M $10.3M $3.9M
2021 $85.7M $56.9M $68.2M $57.1M
2022 $12.7M -$7.6M -$4.3M -$7.2M
2023 $24.3M -$465,000 $4.8M -$57,000
2024 $49.5M $28.4M $32.9M $28.5M
2025 -$11.8M -$33.1M -$28.3M -$33.1M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 -$4.7M -$9.6M
Sep 2025 $759,000 -$5.3M
Dec 2025 -$2.4M -$11.6M
Mar 2026 -$2.4M -$11.6M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership22.6%
Institutional Ownership5.5%
% of All Funds Holding0.33%
Number of Funds Holding27

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$3.64Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$5.11Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$6.78Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$8.67Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$5.18Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$6.79Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$8.40Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$4.20 resistance 1.96x 1 months ago
$4.90 resistance 1.23x 2 months ago
$5.80 resistance 1.45x 5 months ago
$7.60 resistance 1.77x 6 months ago
$8.50 resistance 1.25x 7 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (55 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.43% 0.00% 47.27% 4.25% -11.97%
1 Day -0.75% -0.23% 40.00% 8.90% -21.75%
1 Week -1.08% -0.16% 43.64% 30.45% -49.68%
2 Weeks -0.59% 0.08% 50.91% 61.36% -46.85%
1 Month 0.44% 0.43% 53.70% 68.41% -43.89%

Next earnings: July 19, 2026 (53 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.1%50.0%14
Feb-0.0%50.0%14
Mar-1.8%42.9%14
Apr0.5%42.9%14
May0.0%53.8%13
Jun-1.7%53.8%13
Jul-1.1%46.2%13
Aug2.2%69.2%13
Sep-3.1%46.2%13
Oct-3.6%38.5%13
Nov4.9%53.8%13
Dec1.4%42.9%14

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.10% 46.3% 639
Tuesday 0.07% 50.7% 700
Wednesday -0.08% 47.8% 697
Thursday -0.03% 47.1% 683
Friday 0.07% 49.1% 684

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 5.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 22.6%

Founder-led management: Richard Ressler (Chairman of the Board, Orchard First Source Capital, Inc.)

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for OFS Capital Corp (OFS) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for OFS on Trend Edge →