OCSL — Oaktree Specialty Lending Corp

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Oaktree Specialty Lending Corp

Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation is a business development company. The fund specializing in investments in middle market, bridge financing, first and second lien debt financing, unsecured and mezzanine loan, mezzanine debt, senior and junior secured debt, expansions, sponsor-led acquisitions, preferred equity, and management buyouts in small and mid-sized companies. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$11.83
Market Cap$1.03B
Shares Outstanding88.1M
P/E (Forward)22.22
P/E (TTM)19.89
Price/Sales (TTM)3.47
vs. Analyst Target+5.1% to analyst PT
Profit Margin16.66%
Operating Margin (TTM)85.23%
Revenue (TTM)$298M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-27.70%
Dividend Rate1.5%
Analyst Target Price$12.43 (6 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $52.3M $39.2M $52.3M $37.5M
2021 $248M $237M $248M $126M
2022 $39.1M $29.2M $39.1M $216M
2023 $125M $117M $125M $181M
2024 $186M $57.9M $57.6M $57.8M
2025 $300M $33.9M $261M $151M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $67.4M $38.4M
Sep 2025 $84.3M $24.6M
Dec 2025 $76.4M $5.6M
Mar 2026 $56.8M -$18.9M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.3%
Institutional Ownership42.5%
% of All Funds Holding2.09%
Number of Funds Holding172

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$12.04Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$12.68Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$13.75Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$17.08Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$12.69Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$13.94Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$16.62Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$11.40 support 1.44x 0 months ago
$13.70 resistance 1.24x 4 months ago
$15.30 resistance 1.12x 12 months ago
$16.10 resistance 1.31x 13 months ago
$16.30 resistance 1.62x 16 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (72 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.16% 0.13% 52.78% 2.29% -14.25%
1 Day -0.18% 0.45% 58.33% 7.86% -14.96%
1 Week 0.10% 0.22% 52.78% 20.26% -15.08%
2 Weeks -0.23% -0.52% 47.22% 16.67% -15.55%
1 Month -0.78% -0.19% 47.89% 15.10% -18.98%

Next earnings: July 24, 2026 (58 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.7%66.7%18
Feb-2.4%50.0%18
Mar-1.7%38.9%18
Apr2.7%55.6%18
May0.4%41.2%17
Jun0.1%35.3%17
Jul1.3%61.1%18
Aug1.8%55.6%18
Sep-2.5%27.8%18
Oct-2.4%33.3%18
Nov2.0%44.4%18
Dec-1.3%38.9%18

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.09% 47.8% 847
Tuesday -0.07% 44.8% 929
Wednesday -0.06% 48.2% 926
Thursday 0.03% 48.7% 907
Friday 0.15% 53.9% 905

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 42.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.3%

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Oaktree Specialty Lending Corp (OCSL) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for OCSL on Trend Edge →