NXST — Nexstar Broadcasting Group Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates NXST Bearish with a Setup Score of 34, net conviction 37, actionability 32. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score34
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction37
Actionability32 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Nexstar Broadcasting Group Inc

Nexstar Media Group, Inc. operates as a diversified media company that produces and distributes local and national news, sports, and entertainment contents on the television and digital platforms in the United States. It owns, operates, programs, or provides sales and other services to power television and radio stations; and provides television programming services. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$161.45
Market Cap$4.99B
Float28.6M
Shares Outstanding30.8M
P/E (Forward)8.90
P/E (TTM)30.70
Price/Sales (TTM)0.85
vs. Analyst Target+52.8% to analyst PT
Profit Margin3.20%
Operating Margin (TTM)21.22%
Revenue (TTM)$5.88B
Earnings Growth (YoY)18.00%
Dividend Rate7.4%
Analyst Target Price$246.75 (8 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $4.50B $812M $2.78B $2.00B
2021 $4.65B $834M $2.79B $1.97B
2022 $5.21B $971M $3.21B $2.22B
2023 $4.93B $346M $2.81B $1.79B
2024 $5.41B $722M $3.19B $2.21B
2025 $4.95B $109M $1.93B $1.31B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $1.20B $70.0M
Dec 2025 $1.29B -$166M
Mar 2026 $1.40B $164M
Jun 2026 $3.08B $120M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership6.7%
Institutional Ownership102.4%
Short Float7.7%
% of All Funds Holding5.53%
Number of Funds Holding486

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$173.42Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$194.36Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$189.69Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$175.15Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$190.51Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$187.88Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$176.13Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$180.00 resistance 1.07x 0 months ago
$248.00 resistance 1.41x 6 months ago
$150.00 support 1.24x 16 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (91 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.28% 0.00% 49.45% 17.80% -6.72%
1 Day -0.43% -0.13% 47.25% 11.56% -13.56%
1 Week 0.28% 0.47% 53.85% 23.48% -48.31%
2 Weeks 1.44% 1.11% 52.75% 95.00% -40.68%
1 Month 2.87% 1.83% 53.33% 129.29% -44.92%

Next earnings: November 5, 2026 (25 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan4.4%56.5%23
Feb4.1%43.5%23
Mar-0.6%56.5%23
Apr5.2%60.9%23
May1.1%56.5%23
Jun-1.4%56.5%23
Jul0.8%65.2%23
Aug10.1%47.8%23
Sep1.5%52.2%23
Oct-3.9%36.4%22
Nov5.0%59.1%22
Dec4.4%73.9%23

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.01% 49.3% 1077
Tuesday 0.17% 49.4% 1181
Wednesday 0.22% 49.2% 1182
Thursday 0.08% 50.4% 1157
Friday 0.10% 50.3% 1152

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 102.4%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 6.7%

Founder-led management: Perry A. Sook (Chairman/Chief Executive Officer)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings60
Net Value-$8.5M
Net Shares Change8,341
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings56
Clusters Detected4

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
SOOK PERRY A Chief Executive Officer +$2.0M 1 1 buy
COMPTON SEAN President, Networks -$980,000 1 1 sell
Biard Michael President & COO -$857,058.053 3 3 sell
ZIMMER DANA President, Distribution & Strategy -$751,351.704 1 1 sell
ALFORD ANDREW President, Broadcasting -$467,742.87 1 1 sell
Gliha Lee Ann EVP, Chief Financial Officer -$138,992.479 1 1 sell
WEITMAN GARY EVP, Chief Communications Officer -$58,190.481 1 1 sell
Aulestia Bernadette S. -$56,040 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-03-26 – 2026-03-31 16 13 -$5.3M 14 C-suite
2026-05-19 – 2026-06-01 14 11 -$1.9M 14 C-suite
2026-06-03 – 2026-06-16 25 10 -$2.3M 24 C-suite
2026-08-17 – 2026-08-24 3 3 -$1.3M 2 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-09-23 ALFORD ANDREW President, Broadcasting -$467,742.87 Transaction at $165.69, now -2.6%
2026-08-24 Biard Michael President & COO -$458,047.04 Transaction at $185.82, now -13.1%
2026-08-17 ZIMMER DANA President, Distribution & Strategy -$751,351.704 Transaction at $187.46, now -13.9%
2026-06-29 SOOK PERRY A Chief Executive Officer +$2.0M Transaction at $162.26, now -0.5%
2026-08-24 Aulestia Bernadette S. -$56,040 Transaction at $186.80, now -13.6%
2026-06-05 WEITMAN GARY EVP, Chief Communications Officer -$58,190.481 Transaction at $182.42, now -11.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Nexstar Broadcasting Group Inc (NXST) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for NXST on Trend Edge →