MTUS — Metallus, Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates MTUS Bullish with a Setup Score of 61, net conviction 41, actionability 90. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score61
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction41
Actionability90 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Metallus, Inc

Metallus Inc. manufactures and sells alloy steel, and carbon and micro-alloy steel products in the United States and internationally. It provides special bar quality (SBQ) bars, seamless mechanical tubes, precision steel components, and billets that are used in gears, hubs, axles, crankshafts and motor shafts, oil country drill pipes, bits and collars, bearing races and rolling elements, bushings, fuel injectors, wind energy shafts, anti-friction… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$19.99
Market Cap$818M
Float36.0M
Shares Outstanding41.6M
P/E (Forward)14.25
P/E (TTM)103.37
Price/Sales (TTM)0.67
vs. Analyst Target+20.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin0.66%
Operating Margin (TTM)3.46%
Revenue (TTM)$1.22B
Earnings Growth (YoY)138.40%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$24.08 (2 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $831M -$61.9M $15.6M $17.4M
2021 $1.28B $171M $220M $246M
2022 $1.33B $65.1M $127M $156M
2023 $1.36B $69.4M $187M $153M
2024 $1.08B $1.3M $97.7M $58.7M
2025 $1.16B -$1.2M $95.1M $60.3M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $306M $8.1M
Dec 2025 $267M -$14.3M
Mar 2026 $308M $5.4M
Jun 2026 $341M $8.9M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership14.3%
Institutional Ownership87.8%
Short Float5.3%
% of All Funds Holding2.31%
Number of Funds Holding203

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$19.96Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$18.99Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$17.28Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$18.23Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$18.95Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$17.20Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$18.30Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$18.20 support 1.09x 2 months ago
$13.20 support 1.14x 15 months ago
$22.40 resistance 1.40x 25 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (49 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.56% -1.05% 38.78% 15.04% -15.48%
1 Day 2.05% 0.78% 53.06% 74.95% -16.57%
1 Week 1.71% 0.79% 53.06% 50.68% -26.26%
2 Weeks 0.73% 1.17% 51.02% 55.92% -27.31%
1 Month 3.94% 1.07% 53.06% 76.31% -36.16%

Next earnings: November 5, 2026 (24 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan2.8%66.7%12
Feb5.8%50.0%12
Mar-0.2%41.7%12
Apr0.6%41.7%12
May2.2%66.7%12
Jun3.1%50.0%12
Jul-1.1%61.5%13
Aug-6.0%38.5%13
Sep-2.0%38.5%13
Oct-2.5%41.7%12
Nov7.5%58.3%12
Dec1.0%50.0%12

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.01% 49.3% 580
Tuesday 0.10% 48.8% 637
Wednesday 0.11% 49.1% 634
Thursday -0.13% 46.1% 621
Friday 0.23% 48.5% 619

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 87.8%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 14.3%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings10
Net Value-$2.1M
Net Shares Change-100,667
% of Float-0.3%
C-Suite Filings10
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Williams Michael S Chief Executive Officer -$1.8M 6 N/A
WESTBROOKS KRISTOPHER R President & COO -$174,570.594 3 N/A
SYRVALIN KRISTINE C EVP General Counsel -$105,600 1 N/A

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-10-05 SYRVALIN KRISTINE C EVP General Counsel -$105,600 Transaction at $21.12, now -5.4%
2026-02-04 Williams Michael S Chief Executive Officer -$691,738.731 Transaction at $21.13, now -5.4%
2026-01-14 WESTBROOKS KRISTOPHER R President & COO -$129,665.853 Transaction at $16.49, now +21.2%
2026-01-09 Williams Michael S Chief Executive Officer -$368,620.943 Transaction at $19.10, now +4.6%
2026-10-05 Williams Michael S Chief Executive Officer -$252,245.719 Transaction at $20.29, now -1.5%
2026-10-02 Williams Michael S Chief Executive Officer -$251,482.962 Transaction at $20.01, now -0.1%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Metallus, Inc (MTUS) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for MTUS on Trend Edge →