MTUS — Metallus, Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates MTUS Bullish with a Setup Score of 69, net conviction 41, actionability 117. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score69
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction41
Actionability117 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Metallus, Inc

Metallus Inc. manufactures and sells alloy steel, and carbon and micro-alloy steel products in the United States and internationally. It provides special bar quality (SBQ) bars, seamless mechanical tubes, precision steel components, and billets that are used in gears, hubs, axles, crankshafts and motor shafts, oil country drill pipes, bits and collars, bearing races and rolling elements, bushings, fuel injectors, wind energy shafts, anti-friction… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$19.90
Market Cap$812M
Float36.0M
Shares Outstanding41.4M
P/E (Forward)24.69
P/E (TTM)103.05
Price/Sales (TTM)0.66
vs. Analyst Target+13.1% to analyst PT
Profit Margin0.66%
Operating Margin (TTM)3.46%
Revenue (TTM)$1.22B
Earnings Growth (YoY)138.40%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$22.50 (1 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $831M -$61.9M $15.6M $17.4M
2021 $1.28B $171M $220M $246M
2022 $1.33B $65.1M $127M $156M
2023 $1.36B $69.4M $187M $153M
2024 $1.08B $1.3M $97.7M $58.7M
2025 $1.16B -$1.2M $95.1M $60.3M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $306M $8.1M
Dec 2025 $267M -$14.3M
Mar 2026 $308M $5.4M
Jun 2026 $341M $8.9M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership14.3%
Institutional Ownership87.8%
Short Float5.0%
% of All Funds Holding2.31%
Number of Funds Holding203

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$19.99Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$18.71Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$16.89Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$18.21Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$18.50Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$16.74Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$18.30Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$18.60 support 1.14x 0 months ago
$13.20 support 1.14x 13 months ago
$22.40 resistance 1.40x 23 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (49 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.52% -0.86% 40.82% 15.04% -15.48%
1 Day 2.13% 0.78% 53.06% 74.95% -16.57%
1 Week 1.67% 0.79% 53.06% 50.68% -26.26%
2 Weeks 0.61% 1.17% 51.02% 55.92% -27.31%
1 Month 4.08% 2.11% 54.17% 76.31% -36.16%

Next earnings: October 22, 2026 (55 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan2.8%66.7%12
Feb5.8%50.0%12
Mar-0.2%41.7%12
Apr0.6%41.7%12
May2.2%66.7%12
Jun3.1%50.0%12
Jul-1.1%61.5%13
Aug-6.3%41.7%12
Sep-2.0%41.7%12
Oct-2.5%41.7%12
Nov7.5%58.3%12
Dec1.0%50.0%12

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.01% 49.4% 575
Tuesday 0.10% 48.8% 631
Wednesday 0.10% 48.7% 628
Thursday -0.14% 45.9% 615
Friday 0.23% 48.5% 613

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 87.8%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 14.3%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings7
Net Value-$1.5M
Net Shares Change-70,667
% of Float-0.2%
C-Suite Filings7
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Williams Michael S Chief Executive Officer -$1.3M 4 N/A
WESTBROOKS KRISTOPHER R President & COO -$174,570.594 3 N/A

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-02-04 Williams Michael S Chief Executive Officer -$691,738.731 Transaction at $21.13, now -5.8%
2026-01-14 WESTBROOKS KRISTOPHER R President & COO -$129,665.853 Transaction at $16.49, now +20.6%
2026-01-09 Williams Michael S Chief Executive Officer -$368,620.943 Transaction at $19.10, now +4.2%
2026-02-04 WESTBROOKS KRISTOPHER R President & COO -$44,109.591 Transaction at $16.79, now +18.5%
2026-01-16 Williams Michael S Chief Executive Officer -$12,663 Transaction at $21.00, now -5.2%
2026-01-16 WESTBROOKS KRISTOPHER R President & COO -$795.15 Transaction at $16.73, now +19.0%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Metallus, Inc (MTUS) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for MTUS on Trend Edge →