MLCI — Mount Logan Capital Inc. Common Stock

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates MLCI Bearish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 59, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction59
Actionability0 (extended)

Key signals behind this score

About Mount Logan Capital Inc. Common Stock

Mount Logan Capital Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides asset management and insurance solutions in the United States. It operates in two segments, Asset Management and Insurance Solutions. The company focuses on private credit across senior secured lending, asset-based and specialty finance, structured and other credit, venture and other lending, and select equity-linked solutions. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$3.27
Market Cap$36.4M
Float9.1M
Shares Outstanding11.2M
P/E (Forward)60.24
Price/Sales (TTM)1.16
Profit Margin-203.22%
Operating Margin (TTM)-64.50%
Revenue (TTM)$31.2M
Dividend Rate0.1%

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $22.1M $28.7M $26.1M $34.5M
2022 $50.4M $48.3M $29.0M $52.9M
2023 $215M -$16.5M $45.2M -$8.8M
2024 $196M $5.6M $61.0M $18.1M
2025 -$12.4M -$60.8M -$59.7M -$34.1M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $27.4M -$13.4M
Dec 2025 -$145M -$30.7M
Mar 2026 $2.3M -$6.0M
Jun 2026 $8.7M -$4.2M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership8.2%
Institutional Ownership22.1%
Short Float1.2%
% of All Funds Holding0.34%
Number of Funds Holding30

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$3.29Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$4.96Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$4.98Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$4.53Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$5.05Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$4.95Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$4.44Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$5.00 resistance 1.59x 4 months ago
$8.10 resistance 1.54x 5 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (5 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.10% 0.00% 40.00% 4.91% -4.61%
1 Day -2.98% -3.83% 20.00% 2.58% -7.02%
1 Week -3.45% -0.91% 40.00% 14.04% -25.74%
2 Weeks -8.43% -9.02% 25.00% 9.84% -25.53%
1 Month -3.63% -1.03% 50.00% 12.21% -24.66%

Next earnings: October 30, 2026 (65 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan7.2%55.8%43
Feb2.3%41.9%43
Mar-0.7%37.2%43
Apr3.1%40.9%44
May0.9%47.7%44
Jun1.3%45.5%44
Jul-3.3%29.5%44
Aug-2.2%41.9%43
Sep0.9%41.9%43
Oct-3.3%27.9%43
Nov-0.1%48.8%43
Dec9.1%53.5%43

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.29% 34.0% 2067
Tuesday -0.01% 35.8% 2245
Wednesday 0.08% 36.2% 2242
Thursday 0.29% 39.6% 2202
Friday 0.31% 37.9% 2189

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 22.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 8.2%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings5
Net Value+$40,284.272
Net Shares Change13,531
% of Float0.1%
C-Suite Filings5
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Goldthorpe Edward J. Chief Executive Officer +$22,076.9 1 1 buy
Satoren Brandon Chief Financial Officer +$7,750 2 2 buy
Mangum Jordan Chief Operating Officer +$7,250.432 1 1 buy
Held David Chief Compliance Officer +$3,206.94 1 1 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-20 Held David Chief Compliance Officer +$3,206.94 Transaction at $3.39, now -3.5%
2026-08-18 Satoren Brandon Chief Financial Officer +$6,150 Transaction at $3.08, now +6.3%
2026-08-20 Satoren Brandon Chief Financial Officer +$1,600 Transaction at $3.20, now +2.2%
2026-06-23 Goldthorpe Edward J. Chief Executive Officer +$22,076.9 Transaction at $2.77, now +18.1%
2026-05-27 Mangum Jordan Chief Operating Officer +$7,250.432 Transaction at $3.43, now -4.6%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Mount Logan Capital Inc. Common Stock (MLCI) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for MLCI on Trend Edge →