Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.
About MGP Ingredients Inc
MGP Ingredients, Inc. produces and supplies distilled spirits, branded spirits, and food ingredients worldwide. It operates in three segments: Distillery Solutions, Branded Spirits, and Ingredient Solutions. The Distillery Solutions segment processes corn and other grains, including rye, barley, wheat, barley malt, and milo into food grade alcohol and distillery co-products, such as dried distillers' grain; and offers food-grade alcohol for bever… Read full Trend Edge analysis →
Sector: Consumer Defensive
Industry: Beverages-Wineries & Distilleries
Exchange: NASDAQ
IPO Date: October 20, 1988
Headquarters: Cray Business Plaza, Atchison, KS, United States, 66002
Founder-Led: Yes — Paul A. Lux (Vice President of Distilling Solutions Sales)
Key Metrics
Current Price
$18.05
Market Cap
$387M
Float
14.4M
Shares Outstanding
21.4M
P/E (Forward)
11.81
Price/Sales (TTM)
0.74
vs. Analyst Target
+57.3% to analyst PT
Profit Margin
-45.97%
Operating Margin (TTM)
5.94%
Revenue (TTM)
$521M
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-33.60%
Dividend Rate
0.5%
Analyst Target Price
$28.40 (6 analysts)
Financial History
Annual Revenue & Earnings History
Year
Revenue
Net Income
Gross Profit
EBITDA
2020
$396M
$40.3M
$98.8M
$67.2M
2021
$627M
$91.3M
$199M
$144M
2022
$782M
$109M
$253M
$167M
2023
$837M
$107M
$305M
$171M
2024
$704M
$34.7M
$286M
$98.9M
2025
$536M
-$108M
$199M
-$69.2M
Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income
Quarter
Revenue
Net Income
Jun 2025
$145M
$14.4M
Sep 2025
$131M
$15.4M
Dec 2025
$138M
-$135M
Mar 2026
$106M
-$135M
Ownership & Float
Insider Ownership
32.6%
Institutional Ownership
73.8%
Short Float
7.2%
% of All Funds Holding
1.59%
Number of Funds Holding
131
Current Moving Averages
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
Timeframe
SMA
Value
Trend Context
Weekly
10-Week SMA
$18.80
Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly
40-Week SMA
$23.26
Medium-term trend
Weekly
80-Week SMA
$28.42
Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly
200-Week SMA
$68.55
Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly
10-Month SMA
$22.54
Near-term monthly trend
Monthly
20-Month SMA
$28.72
Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly
40-Month SMA
$60.79
Secular monthly trend
Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume
creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative
volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
Price Level
Type
Volume Ratio
Age
$24.70
resistance
1.03x
2 months ago
$32.60
resistance
1.16x
13 months ago
$39.70
resistance
1.21x
15 months ago
$46.00
resistance
1.43x
16 months ago
$83.00
resistance
2.47x
18 months ago
Historical Earnings Reactions (117 events)
Timeframe
Avg Return
Median
Win Rate
Best
Worst
Gap
-0.31%
0.00%
47.01%
7.63%
-17.75%
1 Day
-0.06%
-0.10%
43.59%
15.86%
-24.16%
1 Week
-1.08%
0.00%
47.01%
22.42%
-29.67%
2 Weeks
-1.64%
-1.85%
44.44%
44.49%
-44.20%
1 Month
0.53%
0.89%
51.72%
57.72%
-43.31%
Next earnings: July 18, 2026 (52 days away)
Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns
Monthly Seasonality
Month
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Jan
2.9%
50.0%
38
Feb
-2.9%
44.7%
38
Mar
0.8%
52.6%
38
Apr
6.7%
65.8%
38
May
2.3%
48.6%
37
Jun
5.0%
67.6%
37
Jul
-2.0%
40.5%
37
Aug
-1.1%
45.9%
37
Sep
-1.2%
48.6%
37
Oct
-1.8%
48.6%
37
Nov
4.3%
63.2%
38
Dec
3.0%
65.8%
38
Day-of-Week Tendencies
Day
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Monday
-0.02%
44.0%
1783
Tuesday
0.18%
45.2%
1941
Wednesday
0.01%
44.7%
1939
Thursday
-0.00%
43.6%
1903
Friday
0.17%
45.9%
1895
Top Institutional Holders
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 73.8%
Insider Transactions — Smart Summary
Total insider ownership: 32.6%
Founder-led management: Paul A. Lux (Vice President of Distilling Solutions Sales)
Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for MGP Ingredients Inc
(MGPI) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model.
The analysis covers five layers:
technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum,
volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals),
qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics),
insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions),
share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and
fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).
AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit,
stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward.
Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup,
AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.