MFIC — MidCap Financial Investment Corporation

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About MidCap Financial Investment Corporation

MidCap Financial Investment Corporation (Former name Apollo Investment Corporation) is business development company and a closed-end, externally managed, non-diversified management investment company. It is elected to be treated as a business development company ("BDC") under the Investment Company Act of 1940 (the "1940 Act") specializing in private equity investments in leveraged buyouts, acquisitions, recapitalizations, growth capital, refinan… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$10.83
Market Cap$877M
Shares Outstanding82.4M
P/E (Forward)8.53
P/E (TTM)177.50
Price/Sales (TTM)2.73
vs. Analyst Target+5.0% to analyst PT
Profit Margin19.69%
Operating Margin (TTM)85.51%
Revenue (TTM)$321M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-3.90%
Dividend Rate1.2%
Analyst Target Price$11.38 (9 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $127M $112M $127M $112M
2021 $96.7M $82.4M $96.7M $133M
2022 $141M $30.6M $94.1M $104M
2023 $237M $119M $133M $119M
2024 $226M $98.8M $110M $98.8M
2025 $274M $63.2M $229M $190M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $53.0M $18.1M
Sep 2025 $63.6M $27.5M
Dec 2025 $65.0M -$12.7M
Mar 2026 $63.4M -$26.9M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.9%
Institutional Ownership39.8%
% of All Funds Holding1.98%
Number of Funds Holding163

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$11.32Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$11.56Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$12.32Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$12.84Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$11.57Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$12.38Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$12.99Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$9.60 support 2.31x 1 months ago
$12.10 resistance 1.68x 4 months ago
$13.10 resistance 1.21x 7 months ago
$13.80 resistance 1.61x 13 months ago
$14.20 resistance 1.25x 16 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (89 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.24% 0.15% 53.93% 7.79% -5.26%
1 Day 0.62% 0.19% 55.06% 21.43% -8.56%
1 Week 1.21% 1.57% 65.91% 20.87% -19.79%
2 Weeks 1.18% 1.84% 64.77% 28.40% -44.17%
1 Month 0.22% 0.84% 57.47% 36.41% -57.79%

Next earnings: August 5, 2026 (68 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan2.7%59.1%22
Feb-0.8%63.6%22
Mar-3.1%36.4%22
Apr4.0%68.2%22
May1.6%54.5%22
Jun-2.6%40.9%22
Jul2.5%54.5%22
Aug2.4%50.0%22
Sep-3.8%36.4%22
Oct-1.0%45.5%22
Nov2.7%72.7%22
Dec-3.9%27.3%22

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.09% 48.5% 1042
Tuesday 0.01% 48.5% 1144
Wednesday -0.02% 50.2% 1144
Thursday 0.08% 50.4% 1122
Friday 0.03% 50.9% 1116

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 39.8%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.9%

Founder-led management: Howard Widra (Executive Chairman of the Board)

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for MidCap Financial Investment Corporation (MFIC) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for MFIC on Trend Edge →