MDV — Modiv Inc

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates MDV Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 48, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction48
Actionability0 (no mans land)

Key signals behind this score

About Modiv Inc

Modiv Industrial, Inc. is an internally managed REIT that is focused on single-tenant net-lease industrial manufacturing real estate. The Company actively acquires critical industrial manufacturing properties with long-term leases to tenants that fuel the national economy and strengthen the nation's supply chains. Modiv Industrial, Inc. was incorporated in 2015 and is based in Denver, United States.… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$17.65
Market Cap$209M
Float9.5M
Shares Outstanding10.3M
P/E (Forward)149.25
Price/Sales (TTM)4.44
vs. Analyst Target+5.8% to analyst PT
Profit Margin0.32%
Operating Margin (TTM)40.94%
Revenue (TTM)$47.0M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-78.50%
Dividend Rate1.2%
Analyst Target Price$18.67 (5 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $38.9M -$49.1M $31.9M $20.2M
2021 $37.9M -$435,505 $31.0M $22.6M
2022 $43.8M -$3.3M $37.3M $18.0M
2023 $47.2M -$6.6M $42.1M $24.4M
2024 $46.8M $6.0M $43.1M $42.5M
2025 $46.4M $1.1M $12.8M $33.2M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $12.0M -$2.0M
Sep 2025 $11.9M $1.0M
Dec 2025 $10.6M $1.2M
Mar 2026 $11.7M -$87,000

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership8.4%
Institutional Ownership27.2%
Short Float1.0%
% of All Funds Holding0.94%
Number of Funds Holding77

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$18.01Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$15.66Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$15.28Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$14.27Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$15.80Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$15.39Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$14.98Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$16.00 support 2.45x 1 months ago
$14.60 support 1.11x 2 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (18 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.36% 0.03% 50.00% 7.83% -7.14%
1 Day -0.40% -1.19% 22.22% 7.45% -4.97%
1 Week 1.52% 1.23% 66.67% 22.58% -6.96%
2 Weeks 4.29% 3.93% 72.22% 34.45% -6.76%
1 Month 3.47% 1.25% 76.47% 30.49% -10.24%

Next earnings: August 6, 2026 (25 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.07% 49.3% 205
Tuesday -0.26% 47.8% 228
Wednesday 0.12% 46.9% 226
Thursday -0.16% 47.7% 220
Friday 0.08% 49.3% 221

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 27.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 8.4%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings2
Net Value+$163,023.032
Net Shares Change9,352
% of Float0.1%
C-Suite Filings2
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Halfacre Aaron Scott CEO and President +$163,023.032 2 2 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-07-01 Halfacre Aaron Scott CEO and President +$62,163.823 Transaction at $17.34, now +1.8%
2026-06-26 Halfacre Aaron Scott CEO and President +$100,859.209 Transaction at $17.49, now +0.9%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Modiv Inc (MDV) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for MDV on Trend Edge →