MDT — Medtronic PLC

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates MDT Bearish with a Setup Score of 86, net conviction 52, actionability 142. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score86
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction52
Actionability142 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Medtronic PLC

Medtronic plc develops, manufactures, and sells device-based medical therapies to healthcare systems, physicians, clinicians, and patients in the United States, Ireland, and internationally. It operates through three segments: The Cardiovascular Portfolio, Neuroscience Portfolio, and Medical Surgical Portfolio. The Cardiovascular Portfolio segment offers implantable cardiac pacemakers, cardioverter defibrillators, and cardiac resynchronization th… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$83.87
Market Cap$105.46B
Float1.28B
Shares Outstanding1.28B
P/E (Forward)13.76
P/E (TTM)21.97
Price/Sales (TTM)2.90
vs. Analyst Target+16.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin13.20%
Operating Margin (TTM)22.05%
Revenue (TTM)$36.36B
Earnings Growth (YoY)18.30%
Dividend Rate2.9%
Analyst Target Price$97.73 (32 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $30.12B $3.61B $19.63B $7.52B
2022 $31.69B $5.04B $21.54B $8.78B
2023 $31.23B $3.76B $20.51B $8.70B
2024 $32.36B $3.68B $21.15B $8.20B
2025 $33.54B $4.66B $21.91B $9.22B
2026 $36.36B $4.80B $23.64B $9.81B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jul 2025 $8.58B $1.04B
Oct 2025 $8.96B $1.37B
Jan 2026 $9.02B $1.14B
Apr 2026 $9.81B $1.24B

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.3%
Institutional Ownership89.6%
Short Float1.4%
% of All Funds Holding25.23%
Number of Funds Holding2,074

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$79.40Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$90.66Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$89.76Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$85.73Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$89.62Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$89.10Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$86.42Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$85.00 resistance 1.10x 2 months ago
$97.00 resistance 1.17x 3 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (121 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.06% 0.00% 47.93% 8.20% -7.71%
1 Day 0.29% 0.02% 50.41% 10.94% -7.01%
1 Week 0.75% 0.74% 58.68% 16.50% -11.21%
2 Weeks 0.67% 0.65% 57.02% 13.17% -23.44%
1 Month 0.59% 0.59% 54.17% 22.72% -31.24%

Next earnings: August 18, 2026 (37 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.9%56.9%51
Feb-0.2%45.1%51
Mar0.1%47.1%51
Apr0.5%49.0%51
May2.5%62.7%51
Jun1.3%51.0%51
Jul2.2%64.0%50
Aug1.8%62.0%50
Sep0.7%50.0%50
Oct-0.3%48.0%50
Nov3.0%60.0%50
Dec1.3%54.9%51

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.06% 47.1% 2390
Tuesday 0.09% 50.1% 2592
Wednesday 0.15% 49.7% 2593
Thursday 0.04% 49.9% 2543
Friday 0.08% 49.4% 2528

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 89.6%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.3%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings6
Net Value-$4.9M
Net Shares Change-42,544
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings5
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Smith Gregory L EVP Global Ops & Supply Chain -$3.1M 1 1 sell
KIIL HARRY SKIP EVP & President Cardiovascular -$1.6M 3 3 sell
Jellison William R +$462,750 1 1 buy
Walter Matthew R. SVP, Chief HR Officer -$257,931.3 1 N/A

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-09 KIIL HARRY SKIP EVP & President Cardiovascular -$336,965.255 Transaction at $80.44, now +4.3%
2025-08-25 Jellison William R +$462,750 Transaction at $92.55, now -9.4%
2026-02-26 KIIL HARRY SKIP EVP & President Cardiovascular -$507,708.45 Transaction at $94.30, now -11.1%
2025-11-21 Smith Gregory L EVP Global Ops & Supply Chain -$3.1M Transaction at $101.95, now -17.7%
2025-09-05 KIIL HARRY SKIP EVP & President Cardiovascular -$788,047.621 Transaction at $91.58, now -8.4%
2026-07-09 Walter Matthew R. SVP, Chief HR Officer -$257,931.3 Transaction at $83.15, now +0.9%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Medtronic PLC (MDT) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for MDT on Trend Edge →