LION — Lionsgate Studios Holding Corp. (to be renamed Lionsgate Studios Corp.)

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Lionsgate Studios Holding Corp. (to be renamed Lionsgate Studios Corp.)

Lionheart III Corp does not have significant operations. It intends to effect a merger, capital stock exchange, asset acquisition, stock purchase, reorganization, or similar business combination with one or more businesses or entities. The company was incorporated in 2021 and is based in Miami, Florida. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$14.73
Market Cap$3.74B
Float10.0M
Shares Outstanding12.5M
P/E (Forward)49.51
Price/Sales (TTM)1.21
vs. Analyst Target-12.4% to analyst PT
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$12.90 (9 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.91B -$19.6M $693M $922M
2021 $2.72B $11.1M $794M $1.68B
2022 $3.08B -$300,000 $876M $1.84B
2023 $2.99B -$93.5M $1.10B $335M
2024 $3.20B -$129M $986M $1.77B
2025 $2.79B -$247M $662M $922M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Mar 2025 $1.07B $21.9M
Jun 2025 $526M -$109M
Sep 2025 $475M -$114M
Dec 2025 $724M -$46.2M

Ownership & Float

Institutional Ownership100.5%
Short Float44.5%
% of All Funds Holding3.10%
Number of Funds Holding255

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$12.08Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$8.95Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$7.99Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$8.98Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$9.15Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$8.13Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$8.92Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$9.60 support 1.46x 0 months ago
$12.50 support 1.26x 0 months ago
$7.50 support 1.71x 4 months ago
$6.40 support 1.02x 5 months ago
$6.40 support 2.05x 7 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (16 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.57% 0.00% 43.75% 14.96% -5.26%
1 Day 1.52% 0.10% 56.25% 14.50% -2.28%
1 Week 0.43% 0.17% 62.50% 20.46% -13.88%
2 Weeks 1.31% 0.24% 62.50% 15.58% -4.65%
1 Month 2.36% 0.71% 81.25% 11.84% -13.58%

Next earnings: August 9, 2026 (73 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.12% 38.1% 197
Tuesday -0.17% 39.3% 219
Wednesday 0.08% 46.8% 218
Thursday -0.03% 42.5% 212
Friday 0.36% 50.2% 215

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 100.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings7
Net Value-$2.0M
Net Shares Change8,737,509
% of Float87.7%
C-Suite Filings3
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Liberty 77 Capital L.P. +$57.8M 4 4 buy
FELTHEIMER JON Chief Executive Officer -$1.6M 1 1 sell
Goldsmith Brian Chief Operating Officer -$213,500 1 1 sell
BURNS MICHAEL RAYMOND Vice Chair -$195,949.48 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-12-19 – 2025-12-29 3 3 -$2.0M 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-05-30 Liberty 77 Capital L.P. +$48.8M Transaction at $6.58, now +123.7%
2025-12-29 FELTHEIMER JON Chief Executive Officer -$1.6M Transaction at $8.28, now +77.9%
2025-06-20 Liberty 77 Capital L.P. +$5.3M Transaction at $5.81, now +153.6%
2025-07-09 Liberty 77 Capital L.P. +$3.2M Transaction at $5.62, now +161.9%
2025-12-29 BURNS MICHAEL RAYMOND Vice Chair -$195,949.48 Transaction at $9.01, now +63.5%
2025-12-19 Goldsmith Brian Chief Operating Officer -$213,500 Transaction at $8.54, now +72.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Lionsgate Studios Holding Corp. (to be renamed Lionsgate Studios Corp.) (LION) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for LION on Trend Edge →