JOE — St Joe Company

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About St Joe Company

The St. Joe Company, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a real estate development, asset management, and operating company in the United States. It operates through three segments: Residential, Hospitality, and Commercial. The Residential segment engages in the development of communities into homesites for sale to homebuilders and on a limited basis to retail customers. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$64.15
Market Cap$3.68B
Float55.3M
Shares Outstanding57.4M
P/E (Forward)50.25
P/E (TTM)33.18
Price/Sales (TTM)7.10
vs. Analyst Target-70.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin21.64%
Operating Margin (TTM)18.35%
Revenue (TTM)$518M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-19.90%
Dividend Rate0.6%
Analyst Target Price$19.00

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $161M $45.2M $82.8M $86.2M
2021 $267M $74.6M $136M $133M
2022 $252M $70.9M $106M $84.4M
2023 $389M $77.7M $153M $169M
2024 $403M $74.2M $167M $142M
2025 $513M $116M $478M $280M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $129M $29.5M
Sep 2025 $161M $38.7M
Dec 2025 $129M $29.9M
Mar 2026 $99.0M $13.9M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.4%
Institutional Ownership87.8%
Short Float1.4%
% of All Funds Holding3.53%
Number of Funds Holding290

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$65.23Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$60.97Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$53.97Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$51.46Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$60.63Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$54.11Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$53.88Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$71.00 resistance 1.32x 1 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (117 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.37% 0.11% 54.70% 7.98% -4.49%
1 Day 0.66% 0.26% 54.70% 18.13% -12.19%
1 Week 0.66% 1.08% 58.12% 24.58% -22.61%
2 Weeks 0.23% 0.58% 52.99% 22.60% -27.28%
1 Month 1.04% 2.42% 56.90% 33.27% -28.96%

Next earnings: July 18, 2026 (51 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan3.3%63.9%36
Feb1.1%47.2%36
Mar1.4%50.0%36
Apr0.5%48.6%37
May1.3%61.1%36
Jun-1.5%52.8%36
Jul2.5%61.1%36
Aug-0.5%44.4%36
Sep-2.5%36.1%36
Oct-0.3%50.0%36
Nov1.2%55.6%36
Dec2.8%52.8%36

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.06% 45.4% 1717
Tuesday 0.02% 45.4% 1869
Wednesday 0.03% 46.9% 1866
Thursday 0.09% 46.0% 1832
Friday 0.10% 48.2% 1823

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 87.8%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.4%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings13
Net Value+N/A
Net Shares Change-1,360,500
% of Float-2.5%
C-Suite Filings0
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
BERKOWITZ BRUCE R -$72.4M 10 10 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-07 BERKOWITZ BRUCE R -$24.8M Transaction at $65.75, now -2.4%
2026-05-12 BERKOWITZ BRUCE R -$7.6M Transaction at $65.94, now -2.7%
2026-03-03 BERKOWITZ BRUCE R -$2.8M Transaction at $72.37, now -11.4%
2026-03-19 BERKOWITZ BRUCE R -$1.5M Transaction at $72.22, now -11.2%
2026-03-06 BERKOWITZ BRUCE R -$102,900 Transaction at $73.50, now -12.7%
2026-01-20 BERKOWITZ BRUCE R -$6.7M Transaction at $65.51, now -2.1%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for St Joe Company (JOE) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for JOE on Trend Edge →