ICFI — ICF International Inc

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates ICFI Bearish with a Setup Score of 35, net conviction 26, actionability 46. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score35
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction26
Actionability46 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About ICF International Inc

ICF International, Inc. provides management, technology, and policy consulting and implementation services to government and commercial clients in the United States and internationally. The Company provides consulting and technology services across several key domains, such as strategy and public policy; energy and environmental sustainability; and climate resilience; digital transformation including information technology; modernization, cloud, … Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$82.85
Market Cap$1.52B
Float17.6M
Shares Outstanding17.9M
P/E (Forward)10.93
P/E (TTM)17.56
Price/Sales (TTM)0.84
vs. Analyst Target+29.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin4.86%
Operating Margin (TTM)8.41%
Revenue (TTM)$1.82B
Earnings Growth (YoY)16.40%
Dividend Rate0.6%
Analyst Target Price$107.25 (5 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.51B $55.0M $534M $122M
2021 $1.55B $71.1M $573M $142M
2022 $1.78B $64.2M $646M $157M
2023 $1.96B $82.6M $698M $197M
2024 $2.02B $110M $738M $221M
2025 $1.87B $91.6M $638M $179M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $465M $23.8M
Dec 2025 $444M $17.3M
Mar 2026 $438M $20.5M
Jun 2026 $474M $26.9M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.9%
Institutional Ownership105.1%
Short Float3.6%
% of All Funds Holding2.63%
Number of Funds Holding231

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$87.00Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$78.50Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$82.90Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$110.95Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$79.10Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$82.51Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$110.16Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$73.00 support 1.02x 2 months ago
$66.00 support 1.88x 5 months ago
$115.00 resistance 2.22x 19 months ago
$138.00 resistance 1.63x 21 months ago
$171.00 resistance 2.19x 22 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (80 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.45% 0.19% 56.25% 21.84% -16.71%
1 Day 0.50% 0.24% 56.25% 18.78% -14.76%
1 Week -0.02% 0.34% 52.50% 17.22% -18.81%
2 Weeks 0.00% 0.10% 50.00% 18.01% -22.89%
1 Month 0.92% 1.21% 55.70% 31.89% -19.92%

Next earnings: October 29, 2026 (19 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-1.3%40.0%20
Feb-0.3%50.0%20
Mar-0.1%50.0%20
Apr4.4%60.0%20
May-1.5%40.0%20
Jun1.2%55.0%20
Jul2.0%55.0%20
Aug3.7%60.0%20
Sep-0.4%45.0%20
Oct3.8%65.0%20
Nov2.9%60.0%20
Dec0.1%40.0%20

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.04% 49.7% 945
Tuesday 0.04% 50.9% 1034
Wednesday 0.05% 49.1% 1033
Thursday 0.14% 53.7% 1013
Friday 0.10% 51.1% 1009

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 105.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.9%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings6
Net Value-$1.7M
Net Shares Change-10,711
% of Float-0.1%
C-Suite Filings3
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Wasson John CEO & President -$1.6M 2 N/A
VAN HANDEL MICHAEL J +$491,134.4 1 1 buy
Ostria Sergio J Executive Vice President -$177,183 1 1 sell
Mehl Randall +$159,299.2 2 2 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-26 Ostria Sergio J Executive Vice President -$177,183 Transaction at $88.59, now -6.5%
2026-05-18 VAN HANDEL MICHAEL J +$491,134.4 Transaction at $61.39, now +35.0%
2026-03-06 Mehl Randall +$81,730 Transaction at $74.30, now +11.5%
2025-11-17 Mehl Randall +$77,569.2 Transaction at $77.57, now +6.8%
2026-07-14 Wasson John CEO & President -$993,917.56 Transaction at $80.08, now +3.5%
2026-09-02 Wasson John CEO & President -$565,251.84 Transaction at $88.32, now -6.2%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for ICF International Inc (ICFI) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for ICFI on Trend Edge →