HTO — H2O America

✨ Hidden Gem Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates HTO Bullish with a Setup Score of 45, net conviction 35, actionability 58. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score45
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction35
Actionability58 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About H2O America

H2O America, through its subsidiaries, provides water utility and other related services in the United States. The company engages in production, purchase, storage, purification, distribution, wholesale, and retail sale of water and wastewater services; and supplies groundwater from wells, surface water from watershed run-off and diversion, reclaimed water, and imported water purchased from Valley Water District. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$61.47
Market Cap$2.57B
Float36.5M
Shares Outstanding41.8M
P/E (Forward)22.03
P/E (TTM)21.05
Price/Sales (TTM)3.15
vs. Analyst Target+3.7% to analyst PT
Profit Margin12.87%
Operating Margin (TTM)21.48%
Revenue (TTM)$816M
Dividend Rate1.8%
Analyst Target Price$63.71 (5 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $565M $61.5M $317M $216M
2021 $574M $60.5M $319M $220M
2022 $621M $73.8M $357M $247M
2023 $670M $85.0M $388M $265M
2024 $748M $94.0M $425M $289M
2025 $801M $103M $374M $321M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $198M $24.7M
Sep 2025 $241M $45.1M
Dec 2025 $194M $16.2M
Mar 2026 $183M $19.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership17.6%
Institutional Ownership122.0%
Short Float13.7%
% of All Funds Holding3.50%
Number of Funds Holding288

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$58.49Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$54.04Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$52.63Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$59.83Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$54.24Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$52.89Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$57.35Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$58.00 support 1.09x 0 months ago
$54.00 support 2.40x 3 months ago
$49.00 support 1.08x 5 months ago
$47.00 support 1.52x 6 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (99 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.02% 0.00% 45.45% 2.86% -6.61%
1 Day -0.40% -0.60% 34.34% 10.81% -7.98%
1 Week -1.11% -0.64% 40.40% 14.64% -20.23%
2 Weeks -0.57% -0.66% 43.43% 15.18% -16.21%
1 Month 0.72% -0.02% 48.98% 21.92% -11.36%

Next earnings: July 27, 2026 (16 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.3%54.9%51
Feb0.2%51.0%51
Mar0.9%49.0%51
Apr-0.0%49.0%51
May0.3%54.9%51
Jun1.1%51.0%51
Jul1.2%54.0%50
Aug1.5%64.0%50
Sep0.3%46.0%50
Oct1.7%52.0%50
Nov1.5%60.0%50
Dec1.2%60.8%51

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.04% 42.3% 2390
Tuesday 0.07% 42.2% 2592
Wednesday 0.01% 40.0% 2593
Thursday 0.08% 41.7% 2543
Friday 0.02% 41.6% 2528

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 122.0%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 17.6%

Founder-led management: San Jose Water Company (President of San Jose Water Co.)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings7
Net Value-$121,878.76
Net Shares Change131,092
% of Float0.4%
C-Suite Filings2
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
ATLAS Infrastructure Partners (UK) Ltd. +$4.9M 4 4 buy, 2 sell
GIP ATLAS Holdings Ltd +$3.0M 1 1 buy
Walters Andrew F Chief Executive Officer -$121,878.76 2 2 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-07-02 ATLAS Infrastructure Partners (UK) Ltd. +$27,135.354 Transaction at $60.75, now +1.2%
2026-06-02 ATLAS Infrastructure Partners (UK) Ltd. +$1.7M Transaction at $57.57, now +6.8%
2026-07-08 ATLAS Infrastructure Partners (UK) Ltd. +$172,691.52 Transaction at $62.03, now -0.9%
2026-04-22 GIP ATLAS Holdings Ltd +$3.0M Transaction at $59.06, now +4.1%
2026-04-13 ATLAS Infrastructure Partners (UK) Ltd. +$3.0M Transaction at $59.06, now +4.1%
2026-07-06 Walters Andrew F Chief Executive Officer -$22,716.76 Transaction at $60.74, now +1.2%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for H2O America (HTO) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for HTO on Trend Edge →