HNNA — Hennessy Ad

✨ Hidden Gem Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Hennessy Ad

Hennessy Advisors, Inc. is an publicly owned investment manager. It provides its services to Hennessy Funds and investment companies. The firm launches and manages equity, fixed income, and balanced mutual funds. It invests in the public equity and fixed income markets across the globe. The firm primarily invests in growth stocks of companies. It conducts in-house research to make its investments. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$10.39
Market Cap$79.8M
Float4.4M
Shares Outstanding7.9M
P/E (Forward)5.12
P/E (TTM)9.62
Price/Sales (TTM)2.42
vs. Analyst Target+87.7% to analyst PT
Profit Margin25.40%
Operating Margin (TTM)32.09%
Revenue (TTM)$33.0M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-27.30%
Dividend Rate0.6%
Analyst Target Price$19.50

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $33.4M $7.8M $24.6M $11.6M
2021 $32.8M $7.9M $23.7M $11.1M
2022 $29.7M $6.2M $21.3M $10.0M
2023 $24.0M $4.8M $12.0M $6.6M
2024 $29.6M $7.1M $20.6M $9.1M
2025 $35.5M $10.0M $24.9M $13.4M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $8.1M $2.1M
Sep 2025 $8.5M $2.4M
Dec 2025 $8.3M $1.9M
Mar 2026 $8.1M $1.9M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership36.3%
Institutional Ownership20.0%
Short Float0.2%
% of All Funds Holding0.38%
Number of Funds Holding31

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$9.99Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$10.15Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$10.81Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$9.09Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$10.21Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$10.82Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$9.11Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$9.60 support 1.43x 3 months ago
$10.40 resistance 1.30x 6 months ago
$12.60 resistance 1.00x 8 months ago
$8.30 support 2.57x 20 months ago
$7.20 support 1.29x 21 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (49 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.68% 0.08% 51.02% 21.11% -11.32%
1 Day 0.52% 0.00% 44.90% 9.14% -4.81%
1 Week 0.27% -1.30% 42.86% 19.91% -13.36%
2 Weeks -1.31% -2.49% 34.69% 15.71% -13.92%
1 Month -1.14% -1.27% 39.58% 24.68% -28.52%

Next earnings: July 25, 2026 (57 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan6.3%61.9%21
Feb-2.9%19.0%21
Mar-1.6%42.9%21
Apr3.5%63.6%22
May-0.1%47.6%21
Jun0.2%33.3%21
Jul-0.6%42.9%21
Aug2.9%52.4%21
Sep-1.1%38.1%21
Oct-2.0%42.9%21
Nov3.7%57.1%21
Dec0.6%47.6%21

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.12% 31.9% 999
Tuesday 0.12% 39.1% 1096
Wednesday -0.06% 37.1% 1095
Thursday 0.18% 38.0% 1075
Friday 0.24% 38.7% 1071

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 20.0%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 36.3%

Founder-led management: Neil J. Hennessy (Chairman & CEO)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings6
Net Value-$100,000
Net Shares Change-30,969
% of Float-0.7%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
SEAVEY THOMAS L -$215,009.614 2 2 sell
Fahy Kathryn SVP and CFO -$100,000 1 1 sell
Newton Kiera -$9,556.55 3 3 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-12 Fahy Kathryn SVP and CFO -$100,000 Transaction at $10.00, now +3.9%
2025-12-31 Newton Kiera -$5,338.85 Transaction at $9.35, now +11.1%
2025-08-14 SEAVEY THOMAS L -$158,453.245 Transaction at $10.78, now -3.6%
2025-08-18 SEAVEY THOMAS L -$56,556.369 Transaction at $10.67, now -2.6%
2025-09-29 Newton Kiera -$4,184.7 Transaction at $10.73, now -3.2%
2025-09-25 Newton Kiera -$33 Transaction at $11.00, now -5.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Hennessy Ad (HNNA) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for HNNA on Trend Edge →