GTES — Gates Industrial Corporation plc

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates GTES Bullish with a Setup Score of 34, net conviction 28, actionability 42. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score34
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction28
Actionability42 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Gates Industrial Corporation plc

Gates Industrial Corporation Ltd. manufactures and sells engineered power transmission and fluid power solutions in the United States, rest of North America, South America, the United Kingdom, Luxembourg, rest of Europe, the Middle East, Africa, India, East Asia, and Greater China. It operates through two segments, Power Transmission and Fluid Power. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$26.03
Market Cap$6.55B
Float247.6M
Shares Outstanding253.2M
P/E (Forward)15.43
P/E (TTM)18.63
Price/Sales (TTM)1.87
vs. Analyst Target+28.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin10.37%
Operating Margin (TTM)15.35%
Revenue (TTM)$3.50B
Earnings Growth (YoY)205.80%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$33.45 (11 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $2.79B $79.4M $1.03B $444M
2021 $3.47B $297M $1.34B $706M
2022 $3.55B $221M $1.25B $614M
2023 $3.57B $233M $1.36B $463M
2024 $3.41B $195M $1.36B $678M
2025 $3.44B $251M $1.39B $703M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $856M $81.6M
Dec 2025 $856M $51.3M
Mar 2026 $851M $59.9M
Jun 2026 $942M $171M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership2.0%
Institutional Ownership103.1%
Short Float4.7%
% of All Funds Holding4.02%
Number of Funds Holding354

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$27.12Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$25.00Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$23.70Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$18.51Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$25.09Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$23.60Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$19.60Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$15.90 support 1.83x 24 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (35 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 1.42% 0.86% 65.71% 14.70% -8.90%
1 Day 0.45% 0.26% 54.29% 18.12% -21.10%
1 Week 0.80% 1.77% 62.86% 18.06% -22.00%
2 Weeks 0.50% 0.25% 54.29% 18.32% -24.56%
1 Month 1.00% -1.03% 44.12% 46.78% -29.11%

Next earnings: October 19, 2026 (55 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan3.8%62.5%8
Feb3.8%77.8%9
Mar-5.7%33.3%9
Apr2.6%55.6%9
May-1.5%55.6%9
Jun2.2%66.7%9
Jul3.9%77.8%9
Aug-3.5%37.5%8
Sep-0.0%25.0%8
Oct-1.9%37.5%8
Nov8.1%75.0%8
Dec-0.2%25.0%8

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.12% 51.4% 405
Tuesday 0.16% 51.1% 444
Wednesday 0.06% 50.9% 440
Thursday 0.07% 49.9% 433
Friday 0.06% 50.9% 432

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 103.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 2.0%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings6
Net Value-$1.5M
Net Shares Change-81,311
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings3
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Montgomery Gwendolyn Ann Chief Human Resources Officer -$977,103.92 2 2 sell
Mallard Lawrence B Chief Financial Officer -$505,220.76 1 1 sell
Zhang Peifang -$497,879.9 2 2 sell
SIMPKINS NEIL P +$27,134.15 1 1 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-07 Zhang Peifang -$171,720 Transaction at $28.62, now -9.0%
2026-08-05 Zhang Peifang -$326,159.9 Transaction at $29.65, now -12.2%
2026-02-06 SIMPKINS NEIL P +$27,134.15 Transaction at $22.41, now +16.2%
2025-12-01 Montgomery Gwendolyn Ann Chief Human Resources Officer -$926,509.6 Transaction at $22.60, now +15.2%
2025-11-13 Mallard Lawrence B Chief Financial Officer -$505,220.76 Transaction at $22.77, now +14.3%
2025-11-18 Montgomery Gwendolyn Ann Chief Human Resources Officer -$50,594.32 Transaction at $21.64, now +20.3%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Gates Industrial Corporation plc (GTES) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for GTES on Trend Edge →