GNRC — Generac Holdings Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates GNRC Bullish with a Setup Score of 47, net conviction 66, actionability 34. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score47
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction66
Actionability34 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Generac Holdings Inc

Generac Holdings Inc. designs, manufactures, and distributes energy technology products and solutions worldwide. The company offers residential automatic standby generators, automatic transfer switch, air-cooled engine home standby generators, and liquid-cooled engine generators; Mobile Link, a remote monitoring system for home standby generators; propane tank monitoring solution; and smart home solutions, such as smart thermostats and a suite of… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$203.56
Market Cap$12.20B
Float57.9M
Shares Outstanding59.0M
P/E (Forward)24.51
P/E (TTM)48.53
Price/Sales (TTM)2.75
vs. Analyst Target+39.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin5.82%
Operating Margin (TTM)17.93%
Revenue (TTM)$4.44B
Earnings Growth (YoY)92.00%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$283.88 (23 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $2.49B $349M $958M $548M
2021 $3.74B $533M $1.36B $817M
2022 $4.56B $350M $1.52B $719M
2023 $4.02B $203M $1.37B $555M
2024 $4.30B $325M $1.67B $671M
2025 $4.21B $160M $1.61B $465M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $1.11B $66.2M
Dec 2025 $1.09B -$24.5M
Mar 2026 $1.06B $73.3M
Jun 2026 $1.17B $143M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.7%
Institutional Ownership91.7%
Short Float3.5%
% of All Funds Holding11.27%
Number of Funds Holding991

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$222.03Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$210.22Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$180.31Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$149.61Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$210.74Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$180.73Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$158.30Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$288.00 resistance 1.12x 0 months ago
$167.00 support 1.23x 5 months ago
$122.00 support 1.16x 13 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (67 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.21% 0.33% 62.69% 3.58% -4.47%
1 Day -0.51% -0.25% 46.27% 7.56% -9.97%
1 Week 0.47% 1.19% 56.72% 20.81% -18.24%
2 Weeks 0.55% 0.63% 55.22% 18.61% -16.49%
1 Month 2.49% 2.02% 57.58% 54.21% -24.17%

Next earnings: October 17, 2026 (52 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.1%43.8%16
Feb6.9%43.8%16
Mar-0.7%41.2%17
Apr0.0%47.1%17
May1.5%70.6%17
Jun6.6%64.7%17
Jul5.2%64.7%17
Aug-1.5%50.0%16
Sep-1.5%50.0%16
Oct6.9%75.0%16
Nov3.6%62.5%16
Dec-0.7%56.3%16

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.17% 51.7% 778
Tuesday 0.08% 50.1% 855
Wednesday 0.12% 51.3% 852
Thursday 0.06% 53.3% 837
Friday 0.10% 51.9% 834

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 91.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.7%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings18
Net Value-$17.5M
Net Shares Change-62,206
% of Float-0.1%
C-Suite Filings18
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Jagdfeld Aaron Chief Executive Officer -$6.2M 5 N/A
Ragen York A. Chief Financial Officer -$4.8M 1 1 sell
Taffe Norman P President Energy Technology -$547,692.776 3 1 sell
Raabe Kyle Andrew President, Home Power Gen. -$103,208.705 1 N/A

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-02-27 – 2026-03-06 3 3 -$6.2M 3 C-suite
2026-08-04 – 2026-08-10 3 3 -$1.2M 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-02-27 Ragen York A. Chief Financial Officer -$4.8M Transaction at $137.86, now +47.7%
2026-02-27 Taffe Norman P President Energy Technology -$346,306.771 Transaction at $179.04, now +13.7%
2026-07-02 Jagdfeld Aaron Chief Executive Officer -$1.4M Transaction at $288.05, now -29.3%
2026-06-03 Jagdfeld Aaron Chief Executive Officer -$1.4M Transaction at $272.18, now -25.2%
2026-05-05 Jagdfeld Aaron Chief Executive Officer -$1.3M Transaction at $260.02, now -21.7%
2026-03-06 Jagdfeld Aaron Chief Executive Officer -$1.1M Transaction at $216.95, now -6.2%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Generac Holdings Inc (GNRC) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for GNRC on Trend Edge →