GHM — Graham Corporation

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Graham Corporation

Graham Corporation designs and manufactures fluid, power, heat transfer, and vacuum technologies for chemical and petrochemical processing, defense, space, petroleum refining, cryogenic, and energy industries. The company offers power plant systems, such as ejectors and surface condensers; torpedo ejection, propulsion, and power systems, including turbines, alternators, regulators, pumps, and blowers; and thermal management systems comprising pum… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$99.98
Market Cap$1.03B
Float10.5M
Shares Outstanding11.1M
P/E (Forward)49.26
P/E (TTM)68.61
Price/Sales (TTM)4.32
vs. Analyst Target+0.3% to analyst PT
Profit Margin6.28%
Operating Margin (TTM)7.02%
Revenue (TTM)$238M
Earnings Growth (YoY)78.60%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$100.25 (5 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $90.6M $1.9M $18.1M $4.3M
2021 $97.5M $2.4M $20.5M $5.2M
2022 $123M -$8.8M $9.1M -$5.2M
2023 $157M $367,000 $25.4M $7.2M
2024 $186M $4.6M $40.6M $12.4M
2025 $210M $12.2M $52.9M $21.1M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Mar 2025 $59.3M $4.4M
Jun 2025 $55.5M $4.6M
Sep 2025 $66.0M $3.1M
Dec 2025 $56.7M $2.8M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership5.8%
Institutional Ownership80.2%
Short Float3.0%
% of All Funds Holding2.03%
Number of Funds Holding167

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$92.95Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$72.32Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$56.82Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$33.91Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$71.32Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$55.76Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$38.18Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$81.00 support 1.23x 0 months ago
$70.00 support 1.00x 2 months ago
$57.00 support 1.19x 4 months ago
$55.00 support 1.20x 6 months ago
$48.00 support 1.09x 7 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (110 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.29% 0.03% 50.00% 6.43% -8.18%
1 Day 0.26% 0.00% 45.45% 12.17% -13.92%
1 Week 0.50% 0.82% 57.80% 28.23% -39.28%
2 Weeks 0.02% -0.54% 46.79% 30.98% -45.77%
1 Month 2.11% 0.95% 54.13% 60.74% -35.67%

Next earnings: June 8, 2026 (10 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan4.3%58.7%46
Feb3.9%54.3%46
Mar-1.2%43.5%46
Apr3.4%55.3%47
May0.7%39.1%46
Jun4.6%47.8%46
Jul3.3%45.7%46
Aug1.8%52.2%46
Sep-2.3%41.3%46
Oct-0.6%41.3%46
Nov4.0%50.0%46
Dec0.0%45.7%46

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.01% 39.3% 2200
Tuesday 0.09% 39.8% 2389
Wednesday 0.05% 38.2% 2386
Thursday 0.11% 39.0% 2340
Friday 0.18% 39.3% 2326

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 80.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 5.8%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings1
Net Value+N/A
Net Shares Change1,200
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings0
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Gregorio Mauro +$58,812 1 1 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-09-15 Gregorio Mauro +$58,812 Transaction at $49.01, now +104.0%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Graham Corporation (GHM) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for GHM on Trend Edge →