GHC — Graham Holdings Co

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates GHC Bullish with a Setup Score of 44, net conviction 31, actionability 62. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score44
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction31
Actionability62 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Graham Holdings Co

Graham Holdings Company, through its subsidiaries, operates as a diversified holding company in the United States and internationally. The company provides academic preparation programs for international students; professional training and postsecondary education services, as well as English-language programs; operations support services for pre-college, certificate, undergraduate and graduate programs; exam preparation services; career and acade… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$1163.24
Market Cap$4.88B
Float2.9M
Shares Outstanding3.3M
P/E (Forward)20.12
P/E (TTM)9.49
Price/Sales (TTM)0.96
vs. Analyst Target-14.9% to analyst PT
Profit Margin10.69%
Operating Margin (TTM)19.74%
Revenue (TTM)$5.07B
Earnings Growth (YoY)676.50%
Dividend Rate7.5%
Analyst Target Price$990.00 (1 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $2.89B $300M $977M $697M
2021 $3.19B $352M $1.07B $720M
2022 $3.92B $67.1M $1.27B $505M
2023 $4.41B $205M $1.31B $665M
2024 $4.79B $725M $1.47B $1.45B
2025 $4.91B $292M $1.36B $741M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $1.28B $123M
Dec 2025 $1.25B $109M
Mar 2026 $1.24B $29.1M
Jun 2026 $1.30B $281M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership7.2%
Institutional Ownership86.7%
Short Float4.8%
% of All Funds Holding3.82%
Number of Funds Holding336

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$1174.51Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$1125.48Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$1058.94Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$840.52Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$1121.02Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$1056.70Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$882.76Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$953.00 support 1.44x 11 months ago
$698.00 support 1.13x 24 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (135 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.16% -0.02% 36.30% 5.56% -3.04%
1 Day -0.08% 0.02% 50.37% 5.99% -8.34%
1 Week 0.28% 0.42% 53.33% 11.56% -16.40%
2 Weeks 0.60% 0.27% 55.56% 12.63% -14.94%
1 Month 1.06% 0.73% 54.48% 20.16% -27.36%

Next earnings: October 18, 2026 (52 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.3%54.9%51
Feb1.5%58.8%51
Mar0.8%51.0%51
Apr2.2%58.8%51
May0.8%60.8%51
Jun-0.2%47.1%51
Jul2.7%64.7%51
Aug0.4%50.0%50
Sep0.3%54.0%50
Oct-0.7%48.0%50
Nov2.6%58.0%50
Dec2.7%62.7%51

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.03% 45.1% 2397
Tuesday 0.09% 48.1% 2599
Wednesday 0.05% 47.9% 2600
Thursday 0.09% 48.3% 2550
Friday 0.08% 48.7% 2535

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 86.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 7.2%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings1
Net Value+N/A
Net Shares Change-7
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings0
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Allen Tony -$6,600.23 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-03-10 Allen Tony -$6,600.23 Transaction at $942.89, now +23.4%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Graham Holdings Co (GHC) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for GHC on Trend Edge →