GCMG — GCM Grosvenor Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates GCMG Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 25, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction25
Actionability0 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About GCM Grosvenor Inc

GCM Grosvenor Inc. is global alternative asset management solutions provider. The firm primarily provides its services to pooled investment vehicles. It also provides its services to investment companies, high net worth individuals, pension and profit sharing plans and state or municipal government entities. The firm invests in equity and alternative investment markets of the United States and internationally. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$13.68
Market Cap$830M
Float58.7M
Shares Outstanding60.4M
P/E (Forward)15.48
P/E (TTM)26.94
Price/Sales (TTM)1.50
vs. Analyst Target+7.8% to analyst PT
Profit Margin9.11%
Operating Margin (TTM)16.50%
Revenue (TTM)$553M
Earnings Growth (YoY)104.40%
Dividend Rate0.5%
Analyst Target Price$14.75 (5 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $433M $4.0M $44.7M -$45.4M
2021 $578M $21.5M $244M $177M
2022 $452M $19.8M $440M $126M
2023 $436M $12.8M $433M -$3.9M
2024 $504M $18.7M $500M $67.2M
2025 $550M $45.4M $546M $175M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $118M $15.4M
Sep 2025 $133M $10.5M
Dec 2025 $175M $19.0M
Mar 2026 $123M $5.5M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership2.9%
Institutional Ownership102.8%
Short Float2.7%
% of All Funds Holding1.61%
Number of Funds Holding132

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$11.62Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$11.20Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$11.94Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$10.17Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$11.40Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$12.04Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$10.62Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$14.10 resistance 1.59x 15 months ago
$9.80 support 1.13x 23 months ago
$9.50 support 1.08x 25 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (30 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.35% 0.05% 50.00% 8.87% -5.70%
1 Day 0.02% 0.00% 46.67% 5.63% -5.90%
1 Week -0.35% -0.24% 46.67% 7.42% -10.38%
2 Weeks 0.50% -0.15% 46.67% 15.47% -7.93%
1 Month -0.85% 0.10% 51.72% 27.45% -17.01%

Next earnings: August 6, 2026 (24 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.5%42.9%7
Feb0.2%42.9%7
Mar-2.5%25.0%8
Apr0.4%50.0%8
May-2.4%50.0%8
Jun-1.2%50.0%8
Jul3.9%71.4%7
Aug2.2%42.9%7
Sep0.5%85.7%7
Oct0.7%57.1%7
Nov0.2%71.4%7
Dec4.6%57.1%7

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.09% 43.8% 349
Tuesday 0.04% 44.7% 385
Wednesday 0.03% 44.1% 381
Thursday 0.02% 46.5% 374
Friday -0.03% 41.9% 372

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 102.8%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 2.9%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings4
Net Value-$1.0M
Net Shares Change-6,578,719
% of Float-11.2%
C-Suite Filings2
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Bentley Pamela L Chief Financial Officer -$929,408 1 N/A
Blanton Angela -$488,817.014 1 1 sell
SULLIVAN KATHLEEN PATRICIA Principal Accounting Officer -$78,123.6 1 1 sell
LUTNICK HOWARD W +N/A 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-02-27 Blanton Angela -$488,817.014 Transaction at $11.87, now +15.3%
2025-08-13 SULLIVAN KATHLEEN PATRICIA Principal Accounting Officer -$78,123.6 Transaction at $13.02, now +5.1%
2025-10-06 LUTNICK HOWARD W +N/A N/A
2025-12-18 Bentley Pamela L Chief Financial Officer -$929,408 Transaction at $11.62, now +17.8%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for GCM Grosvenor Inc (GCMG) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for GCMG on Trend Edge →