GAIN — Gladstone Investment Corporation

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Gladstone Investment Corporation

Gladstone Investment Corporation is business development company, specializes in lower middle market, mature stage, buyouts; refinancing existing debt; senior debt securities such as senior loans, senior term loans, lines of credit, and senior notes; senior subordinated debt securities such as senior subordinated loans and senior subordinated notes; junior subordinated debt securities such as subordinated notes and mezzanine loans; limited liabil… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$15.96
Market Cap$653M
Shares Outstanding39.8M
P/E (Forward)16.89
P/E (TTM)3.40
Price/Sales (TTM)3.54
vs. Analyst Target+4.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin186.47%
Operating Margin (TTM)-0.02%
Revenue (TTM)$99.1M
Earnings Growth (YoY)326.10%
Dividend Rate1.0%
Analyst Target Price$16.67 (5 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $48.7M $44.8M $48.7M $30.9M
2022 $99.1M $105M $99.1M $43.7M
2023 $32.7M $35.5M $32.7M $51.4M
2024 $103M $85.3M $79.0M $85.3M
2025 $89.9M $65.3M $61.6M $65.3M
2026 $71.5M $185M $13.9M $226M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $25.7M $17.9M
Sep 2025 $36.1M $28.7M
Dec 2025 $25.1M $65.9M
Mar 2026 $25.4M $82.4M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.8%
Institutional Ownership17.9%
% of All Funds Holding0.96%
Number of Funds Holding79

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$15.68Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$14.34Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$14.06Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$13.80Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$14.41Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$14.12Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$13.91Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$14.30 support 1.68x 0 months ago
$16.60 resistance 1.65x 0 months ago
$13.60 support 2.42x 1 months ago
$13.00 support 1.18x 19 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (84 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.24% 0.39% 64.29% 4.73% -4.87%
1 Day 0.05% -0.14% 47.62% 10.85% -10.88%
1 Week 1.06% 0.55% 57.14% 14.27% -10.77%
2 Weeks 1.33% 0.82% 57.83% 18.00% -8.58%
1 Month 0.77% 0.00% 49.40% 22.40% -21.13%

Next earnings: August 11, 2026 (75 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan2.1%71.4%21
Feb1.2%61.9%21
Mar-2.1%47.6%21
Apr4.3%57.1%21
May-1.2%35.0%20
Jun-0.6%60.0%20
Jul1.6%52.4%21
Aug-1.1%38.1%21
Sep-0.6%38.1%21
Oct0.5%57.1%21
Nov1.9%61.9%21
Dec-1.8%28.6%21

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.08% 49.9% 985
Tuesday -0.07% 46.7% 1081
Wednesday 0.05% 48.1% 1080
Thursday 0.09% 49.9% 1059
Friday 0.18% 53.5% 1057

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 17.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.8%

Founder-led management: David Gladstone (Chairman & Chief Executive Officer)

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Gladstone Investment Corporation (GAIN) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for GAIN on Trend Edge →