FGNX — Fundamental Global Inc.

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates FGNX Bearish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 37, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction37
Actionability0 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Fundamental Global Inc.

FG Nexus Inc. operates a digital asset treasury focused on Ethereum (ETH) and tokenization opportunities in the United States. It operates through two segments, Digital Assets and Merchant Banking. The company focuses on commercializing and expanding the tokenization of real-world assets, such as housing, reinsurance, real estate, and other asset classes. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$7.86
Market Cap$34.6M
Float4.1M
Shares Outstanding5.1M
P/E (Forward)7.42
Price/Sales (TTM)15.27
Operating Margin (TTM)-886.36%
Revenue (TTM)$2.4M
Dividend RateNone

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 -$17.4M -$22.5M -$17.4M -$7.1M
2021 $4.1M -$8.5M -$1.6M -$5.2M
2022 $12.5M $1.1M $1.8M $2.7M
2023 $17.1M -$14.1M -$4.4M -$11.9M
2024 $17.3M -$1.2M -$8.1M -$21.8M
2025 -$2.3M -$68.5M -$2.6M -$67.3M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $1.4M -$3.4M
Dec 2025 $1.1M -$59.1M
Mar 2026 -$18.4M -$38.6M
Jun 2026 $242,000 -$18.6M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership25.1%
Institutional Ownership25.2%
Short Float8.0%
% of All Funds Holding0.31%
Number of Funds Holding27

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$6.39Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$8.79Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$40.21Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$134.43Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$9.11Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$42.67Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$102.99Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$5.20 support 1.03x 0 months ago
$27.40 resistance 5.27x 9 months ago
$66.00 resistance 5.58x 10 months ago
$100.00 resistance 4.48x 11 months ago
$180.00 resistance 3.48x 19 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (41 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.77% 0.00% 43.90% 19.53% -42.63%
1 Day 0.75% 0.61% 56.10% 15.93% -48.08%
1 Week 1.69% -0.59% 48.78% 29.71% -47.64%
2 Weeks 0.93% 0.99% 55.00% 34.47% -56.04%
1 Month -1.46% -1.97% 45.00% 50.00% -81.06%

Next earnings: August 6, 2026

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-6.3%25.0%12
Feb-0.4%41.7%12
Mar-4.3%41.7%12
Apr5.0%25.0%12
May3.1%53.8%13
Jun-8.5%38.5%13
Jul1.3%53.8%13
Aug-6.2%16.7%12
Sep-6.9%25.0%12
Oct-3.7%25.0%12
Nov2.2%41.7%12
Dec3.1%58.3%12

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.14% 41.2% 585
Tuesday -0.28% 38.0% 642
Wednesday 0.08% 42.7% 640
Thursday -0.09% 41.8% 627
Friday 0.20% 44.9% 623

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 25.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 25.1%

Founder-led management: Kyle Cerminara (Co-Founder, Chairman of the Board & CEO), Joe Moglia (Co-Founder & Executive Advisor), Larry G Swets (Chief Executive Officer of Merchant Banking)

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Fundamental Global Inc. (FGNX) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for FGNX on Trend Edge →