ELLO — Ellomay Capital Ltd

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates ELLO Bearish with a Setup Score of 9, net conviction 20, actionability 4. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score9
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction20
Actionability4 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Ellomay Capital Ltd

Ellomay Capital Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the initiation, development, construction, and production of renewable and clean energy projects in Europe, the United States, and Israel. The company owns photovoltaic (PV) plants comprising five PV plants in Spain. It also engages in the operation of a dual-fuel operated power plant in Ashkelon, Israel; and construction of a hydro power plant in the Manara Cliff, Israel. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$18.35
Market Cap$251M
Float7.4M
Shares Outstanding13.8M
P/E (Forward)22.03
Price/Sales (TTM)5.88
Profit Margin-48.25%
Operating Margin (TTM)-31.14%
Revenue (TTM)$42.6M
Earnings Growth (YoY)14.60%
Dividend RateNone

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $9.6M -$4.6M $1.7M $1.1M
2021 $44.8M -$15.1M $25.0M $18.7M
2022 $52.2M -$357,000 $24.8M $27.0M
2023 $48.8M $2.2M $21.5M $29.5M
2024 $40.5M -$6.5M $4.8M $20.4M
2025 $33.9M -$2.1M -$2.0M $24.8M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $11.3M -$7.7M
Sep 2025 $12.7M $10.1M
Dec 2025 $11.8M -$14.5M
Mar 2026 $8.7M -$10.4M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership56.1%
Institutional Ownership29.8%
Short Float0.1%
% of All Funds Holding0.07%
Number of Funds Holding6

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$21.10Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$23.20Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$19.80Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$16.88Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$22.56Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$19.53Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$17.05Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$23.90 resistance 2.50x 0 months ago
$14.90 support 1.27x 12 months ago
$12.10 support 1.04x 20 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (94 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.48% 0.00% 32.98% 17.78% -12.50%
1 Day 0.48% 0.00% 31.91% 19.81% -12.50%
1 Week -0.42% -0.29% 46.81% 39.02% -16.67%
2 Weeks -0.47% -0.25% 46.81% 54.47% -29.53%
1 Month 1.94% 0.63% 51.61% 56.25% -28.97%

Next earnings: June 29, 2026

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan2.9%61.3%31
Feb-0.3%45.2%31
Mar-2.9%29.0%31
Apr0.6%41.9%31
May0.6%45.2%31
Jun-1.3%45.2%31
Jul1.5%46.7%30
Aug2.0%63.3%30
Sep-1.8%40.0%30
Oct1.9%40.0%30
Nov5.3%58.1%31
Dec1.2%45.2%31

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.32% 32.6% 1455
Tuesday 0.05% 31.7% 1589
Wednesday 0.24% 33.8% 1587
Thursday 0.05% 32.2% 1555
Friday 0.59% 29.8% 1548

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 29.8%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 56.1%

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Ellomay Capital Ltd (ELLO) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for ELLO on Trend Edge →