EC — Ecopetrol SA ADR

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Ecopetrol SA ADR

Ecopetrol S.A. operates as an integrated energy company. It operates through four segments: Exploration and Production; Transport and Logistics; Refining and Petrochemicals; and Energy transmission and Toll Roads Concessions. The Exploration and Production segment engages in the exploration and production of oil and gas. The Transport and Logistics segment is involved in the transportation of crude oil, motor fuels, fuel oil, and other refined pr… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$14.86
Market Cap$28.49B
Float4.73B
Shares Outstanding2.06B
P/E (Forward)9.12
P/E (TTM)10.66
Price/Sales (TTM)0.94
vs. Analyst Target-16.0% to analyst PT
Profit Margin7.52%
Revenue (TTM)$125.67T
Earnings Growth (YoY)-7.70%
Dividend Rate0.7%
Analyst Target Price$12.48 (11 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $50.22T $1.59T $12.66T $17.36T
2021 $91.88T $15.65T $36.30T $40.72T
2022 $159.61T $31.60T $70.15T $73.81T
2023 $143.19T $21.06T $55.01T $59.83T
2024 $133.33T $13.84T $46.85T $55.75T
2025 $111.48T $8.40T $35.05T $39.29T

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $29.67T $1.81T
Sep 2025 $29.84T $2.56T
Dec 2025 $28.47T $1.49T
Mar 2026 $28.41T $2.87T

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.0%
Institutional Ownership1.3%
Short Float0.2%
% of All Funds Holding1.84%
Number of Funds Holding151

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$14.00Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$11.46Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$10.20Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$10.55Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$11.62Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$10.17Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$10.64Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$12.30 support 1.70x 1 months ago
$10.10 support 1.44x 3 months ago
$8.00 support 1.17x 15 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (60 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.01% 0.00% 46.67% 2.87% -3.30%
1 Day -0.17% 0.19% 51.67% 5.73% -6.19%
1 Week 0.77% -0.63% 46.67% 26.29% -11.69%
2 Weeks -0.07% 0.00% 50.00% 25.49% -48.65%
1 Month -1.00% -1.41% 42.37% 37.64% -51.78%

Next earnings: May 27, 2026

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan4.8%61.1%18
Feb1.3%50.0%18
Mar3.5%72.2%18
Apr-1.2%44.4%18
May-1.7%35.3%17
Jun0.6%47.1%17
Jul0.8%47.1%17
Aug0.1%47.1%17
Sep-1.2%47.1%17
Oct-0.7%61.1%18
Nov-3.0%44.4%18
Dec1.0%61.1%18

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.09% 49.0% 834
Tuesday 0.00% 51.9% 915
Wednesday 0.07% 51.0% 912
Thursday 0.03% 50.4% 893
Friday 0.08% 50.8% 892

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 1.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.0%

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Ecopetrol SA ADR (EC) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for EC on Trend Edge →