Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.
Trend Edge Setup Score
Trend Edge rates EARN Bearish with a Setup Score of 55, net conviction 49, actionability 62. How the Setup Score works →
Total Setup Score
55
Directional Bias
Bearish
Net Conviction
49
Actionability
62 (in range)
Key signals behind this score
40wk Downtrend — falling+below (sma 4.82 vs px 4.45)
Fresh Breakdown — 40wk turn 26w+10wk turn 9w
80wk Downtrend — falling+below (sma 5.21 vs px 4.45)
200wk Downtrend — falling+below (sma 6.16 vs px 4.45)
Funds Distributing — momZ +0.53 · 0.51→0.48
Seasonal Headwind — september med -4.1% (mag 2/3) · posClose 23.08% (rel 2/3) · n13 ×1 = 11
RS Breakdown — momZ +1.09 · low 2w×1.00 · vs industry
About Ellington Residential Mortgage
Ellington Credit Company, a closed-end management investment company, focuses on generating current yields and risk-adjusted total returns by investing primarily in collateralized loan obligations. It invests in mezzanine debt and equity tranches. The company was formerly known as Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT and changed its name to Ellington Credit Company in April 2024. Read full Trend Edge analysis →
Sector: Financial Services
Industry: Asset Management
Exchange: NYSE
IPO Date: May 1, 2013
Headquarters: 53 Forest Avenue, Old Greenwich, CT, United States, 06870
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
Timeframe
SMA
Value
Trend Context
Weekly
10-Week SMA
$4.42
Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly
40-Week SMA
$4.82
Medium-term trend
Weekly
80-Week SMA
$5.21
Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly
200-Week SMA
$6.16
Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly
10-Month SMA
$4.81
Near-term monthly trend
Monthly
20-Month SMA
$5.27
Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly
40-Month SMA
$5.94
Secular monthly trend
Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume
creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative
volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Ellington Residential Mortgage
(EARN) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model.
The analysis covers five layers:
technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum,
volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals),
qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics),
insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions),
share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and
fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).
AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit,
stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward.
Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup,
AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.