DXCM — DexCom Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates DXCM Bearish with a Setup Score of 49, net conviction 24, actionability 100. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score49
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction24
Actionability100 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About DexCom Inc

DexCom, Inc., a medical device company, focuses on the design, development, and commercialization of continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) systems for the management of diabetes and metabolic health in the United States and internationally. The company offers Dexcom G7 and G7 15 Day, an integrated continuous glucose monitoring system; Dexcom G6, a CGM system; Dexcom ONE+ to replace fingerstick blood glucose testing for diabetes treatment decisions;… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$74.96
Market Cap$28.18B
Float384.5M
Shares Outstanding385.9M
P/E (Forward)28.90
P/E (TTM)31.75
Price/Sales (TTM)5.85
vs. Analyst Target+13.7% to analyst PT
Profit Margin19.31%
Operating Margin (TTM)21.42%
Revenue (TTM)$4.82B
Earnings Growth (YoY)92.20%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$85.24 (27 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.93B $494M $1.28B $377M
2021 $2.45B $217M $1.68B $378M
2022 $2.91B $341M $1.88B $565M
2023 $3.62B $542M $2.29B $917M
2024 $4.03B $576M $2.44B $946M
2025 $4.66B $836M $2.80B $1.36B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $1.16B $180M
Sep 2025 $1.21B $284M
Dec 2025 $1.26B $267M
Mar 2026 $1.19B $200M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.3%
Institutional Ownership102.2%
Short Float4.4%
% of All Funds Holding11.02%
Number of Funds Holding906

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$70.51Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$66.97Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$73.24Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$93.30Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$67.29Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$73.10Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$89.09Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$61.00 support 1.31x 1 months ago
$88.00 resistance 1.05x 15 months ago
$113.00 resistance 1.84x 23 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (85 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.17% 0.00% 45.88% 25.10% -38.80%
1 Day 0.52% 0.05% 50.59% 30.65% -40.66%
1 Week 0.20% -0.41% 48.24% 32.45% -48.60%
2 Weeks 1.34% 1.68% 54.12% 42.90% -44.97%
1 Month 5.28% 5.51% 60.71% 53.04% -38.01%

Next earnings: July 29, 2026 (18 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan6.8%71.4%21
Feb0.5%42.9%21
Mar0.9%57.1%21
Apr5.4%57.1%21
May3.9%59.1%22
Jun5.2%72.7%22
Jul-1.5%42.9%21
Aug8.3%76.2%21
Sep-4.2%28.6%21
Oct-3.1%38.1%21
Nov3.2%57.1%21
Dec4.5%57.1%21

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.13% 51.7% 1000
Tuesday 0.14% 51.6% 1096
Wednesday 0.04% 50.2% 1096
Thursday 0.06% 47.5% 1075
Friday 0.23% 52.0% 1071

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 102.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.3%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings22
Net Value-$4.7M
Net Shares Change-80,751
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings13
Clusters Detected5

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
SAYER KEVIN R Executive Chair -$3.9M 2 N/A
Leach Jacob Steven President & COO +$1.0M 1 1 buy
FOLETTA MARK G -$753,659.175 3 N/A
Coleman Jon EVP, Chief Commercial Officer -$722,628.013 1 N/A
Collins Richard Alexander -$389,410.46 2 N/A
Sylvain Jereme M EVP, Chief Financal Officer -$357,796.08 1 N/A

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-07-17 – 2025-07-29 3 3 -$407,691.015 2 C-suite
2025-09-04 – 2025-09-09 3 3 -$529,009.7 2 C-suite
2025-11-10 – 2025-11-18 4 3 +$553,525.22 1 C-suite
2026-05-14 – 2026-05-26 3 3 -$2.1M 2 C-suite
2026-06-05 – 2026-06-17 3 3 -$1.1M 2 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-11-10 Leach Jacob Steven President & COO +$1.0M Transaction at $55.04, now +36.2%
2026-07-07 SAYER KEVIN R Executive Chair -$1.9M Transaction at $72.00, now +4.1%
2026-05-26 SAYER KEVIN R Executive Chair -$1.9M Transaction at $72.00, now +4.1%
2026-06-17 FOLETTA MARK G -$296,539.6 Transaction at $74.13, now +1.1%
2026-06-05 Coleman Jon EVP, Chief Commercial Officer -$722,628.013 Transaction at $73.56, now +1.9%
2025-11-18 Collins Richard Alexander -$171,599.3 Transaction at $59.05, now +26.9%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for DexCom Inc (DXCM) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for DXCM on Trend Edge →