DFDV — DeFi Development Corp.

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About DeFi Development Corp.

DeFi Development Corp. focuses on building its treasury around Solana (SOL). SOL is a blockchain infrastructure platform. The company operates through two segments: Digital Asset Treasury and Real Estate Platform. The Digital Asset Treasury segment executes and manages its treasury policy for the purpose of purchasing, holding, and compounding its digital asset holdings through staking and operating its owned validators. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$3.90
Market Cap$134M
Float21.9M
Shares Outstanding30.1M
Price/Sales (TTM)9.72
vs. Analyst Target+92.3% to analyst PT
Operating Margin (TTM)-2072.82%
Revenue (TTM)$13.8M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$7.50

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.6M $319,025 $1.6M $432,244
2021 $2.0M -$1.6M $2.0M -$1.6M
2022 $2.2M -$1.3M $2.2M -$1.2M
2023 $2.0M -$3.4M $2.0M -$3.4M
2024 $2.1M -$2.7M $2.1M -$2.7M
2025 $11.4M -$73.8M $11.1M -$63.8M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $2.0M $15.4M
Sep 2025 $4.6M $56.0M
Dec 2025 $4.5M -$144M
Mar 2026 $2.7M -$83.4M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership29.4%
Institutional Ownership15.2%
Short Float25.9%
% of All Funds Holding0.55%
Number of Funds Holding45

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$4.19Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$7.57Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$8.56Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$0.00Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$7.52Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$7.16Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$0.00Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$20.20 resistance 1.23x 9 months ago
$0.80 support 8.32x 12 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (11 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 3.61% 2.25% 81.82% 16.26% -2.09%
1 Day -0.40% 0.00% 45.45% 8.82% -11.40%
1 Week -4.65% -1.43% 45.45% 6.40% -35.60%
2 Weeks 2.18% -4.26% 40.00% 42.23% -21.90%
1 Month 140.39% -12.25% 20.00% 1490.74% -33.31%

Next earnings: August 12, 2026 (76 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 6.41% 47.8% 134
Tuesday 0.28% 49.3% 148
Wednesday 0.03% 42.8% 145
Thursday -0.59% 34.3% 140
Friday 0.50% 42.4% 144

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 15.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 29.4%

Founder-led management: Blake Janover (Chief Commercial Officer & Director)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings3
Net Value-$1.1M
Net Shares Change-392,263
% of Float-1.8%
C-Suite Filings3
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
White Parker COO, CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER -$1.2M 2 2 buy
Kang Daniel Chief Strategy Officer +$28,980 1 1 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-12-11 White Parker COO, CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER +$102,297.6 Transaction at $5.76, now -32.3%
2025-11-25 White Parker COO and Chief Investment Officer -$1.3M Transaction at $4.46, now -12.7%
2025-11-25 Kang Daniel Chief Strategy Officer +$28,980 Transaction at $6.90, now -43.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for DeFi Development Corp. (DFDV) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for DFDV on Trend Edge →