COHR — Coherent Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates COHR Bullish with a Setup Score of 43, net conviction 37, actionability 51. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score43
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction37
Actionability51 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Coherent Inc

Coherent Corp. develops, manufactures, and markets lasers, transceivers, other optical and optoelectronic devices, modules, and systems worldwide. Its products include critical components consisting of detectors, passive optics, thermal solutions, and PICS; silicon photonics and other advanced optical technologies; and coherent transmission components, transport products, optical amplifiers, passive optical components, optical line systems, and m… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$289.52
Market Cap$56.80B
Float195.1M
Shares Outstanding195.8M
P/E (Forward)28.25
P/E (TTM)70.40
Price/Sales (TTM)7.98
vs. Analyst Target+43.7% to analyst PT
Profit Margin11.31%
Operating Margin (TTM)11.83%
Revenue (TTM)$7.12B
Earnings Growth (YoY)73.00%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$416.09 (19 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $3.11B $298M $1.18B $683M
2022 $3.32B $235M $1.27B $690M
2023 $5.16B -$259M $1.62B $732M
2024 $4.71B -$156M $1.46B $701M
2025 $5.81B $49.4M $2.06B $1.11B
2026 $2.05B $241M $787M $320M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $1.58B $226M
Dec 2025 $1.69B $147M
Mar 2026 $1.81B $191M
Jun 2026 $2.05B $241M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership4.4%
Institutional Ownership87.5%
Short Float4.6%
% of All Funds Holding14.71%
Number of Funds Holding1,294

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$324.53Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$274.55Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$182.58Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$106.75Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$268.62Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$179.19Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$119.37Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$235.00 support 1.05x 3 months ago
$209.00 support 1.51x 5 months ago
$161.00 support 1.06x 7 months ago
$134.00 support 1.26x 8 months ago
$88.00 support 1.05x 10 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (126 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.57% 0.13% 51.59% 28.59% -20.09%
1 Day 0.45% 0.01% 50.00% 21.00% -21.27%
1 Week 0.51% 0.17% 50.79% 32.25% -24.04%
2 Weeks 1.81% 2.04% 55.20% 45.73% -19.41%
1 Month 3.33% 2.34% 56.00% 76.88% -34.26%

Next earnings: October 31, 2026 (67 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan4.7%51.3%39
Feb4.2%61.5%39
Mar-0.7%41.0%39
Apr2.2%41.0%39
May1.3%53.8%39
Jun4.2%53.8%39
Jul-0.8%43.6%39
Aug4.3%55.3%38
Sep0.0%44.7%38
Oct2.8%65.8%38
Nov4.2%64.1%39
Dec1.8%43.6%39

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.08% 45.6% 1846
Tuesday 0.18% 45.9% 2009
Wednesday 0.12% 44.7% 2007
Thursday 0.14% 45.4% 1970
Friday 0.17% 45.1% 1958

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 87.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 4.4%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings26
Net Value-$21.9M
Net Shares Change-120,008
% of Float-0.1%
C-Suite Filings11
Clusters Detected3

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
BAIN CAPITAL INVESTORS LLC -$1.08B 1 1 sell
CORASANTI JOSEPH J -$3.0M 1 1 sell
Dreyer Michael L -$1.7M 1 1 sell
Xia Howard H. -$1.6M 2 2 sell
Digirolomo Enrico -$1.3M 2 2 sell
Eng Julie Sheridan EVP, Engineering -$1.3M 1 1 sell
STERLING MICHELLE M -$329,022.2 1 1 sell
Mocciaro Ilaria SVP, Finance -$224,051.67 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-11-12 – 2025-11-25 5 5 -$1.08B
2025-12-01 – 2025-12-12 5 4 -$3.9M 1 C-suite
2026-03-04 – 2026-03-18 5 4 -$3.9M 2 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-03-09 Digirolomo Enrico -$944,506.5 Transaction at $241.50, now +19.9%
2025-09-02 Eng Julie Sheridan EVP, Engineering -$1.3M Transaction at $90.69, now +219.2%
2025-12-03 Mocciaro Ilaria SVP, Finance -$224,051.67 Transaction at $162.71, now +77.9%
2026-05-13 Xia Howard H. -$665,660 Transaction at $188.09, now +53.9%
2026-03-18 Xia Howard H. -$949,062.096 Transaction at $133.59, now +116.7%
2025-12-12 CORASANTI JOSEPH J -$3.0M Transaction at $196.74, now +47.2%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Coherent Inc (COHR) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for COHR on Trend Edge →