CDP — COPT Defense Properties

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About COPT Defense Properties

COPT Defense Properties, an S&P MidCap 400 Company, is a self-managed REIT focused on owning, operating and developing properties in locations proximate to, or sometimes containing, key U.S. Government defense installations and missions (referred to as its Defense/IT Portfolio). The Company's tenants include the USG and their defense contractors, who are primarily engaged in priority national security activities, and who generally require mission… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$32.37
Market Cap$3.68B
Float112.0M
Shares Outstanding113.4M
P/E (Forward)38.17
P/E (TTM)23.24
Price/Sales (TTM)4.71
vs. Analyst Target+10.1% to analyst PT
Profit Margin20.00%
Operating Margin (TTM)29.56%
Revenue (TTM)$781M
Earnings Growth (YoY)9.70%
Dividend Rate1.3%
Analyst Target Price$35.63 (8 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $584M $97.4M $326M $303M
2021 $664M $76.5M $209M $294M
2022 $739M $173M $220M $354M
2023 $685M -$73.5M $231M $150M
2024 $753M $139M $260M $370M
2025 $764M $152M $118M $409M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $190M $38.3M
Sep 2025 $189M $41.7M
Dec 2025 $197M $37.5M
Mar 2026 $201M $38.6M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.3%
Institutional Ownership117.6%
Short Float5.5%
% of All Funds Holding3.56%
Number of Funds Holding293

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$31.77Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$30.38Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$29.40Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$27.12Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$30.14Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$29.48Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$27.28Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$27.80 support 1.34x 3 months ago
$32.80 resistance 1.15x 16 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (99 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.11% -0.08% 40.40% 7.00% -6.88%
1 Day 0.08% -0.25% 43.43% 8.84% -6.47%
1 Week 0.38% 0.26% 56.57% 13.82% -16.30%
2 Weeks -0.25% 0.13% 51.52% 16.54% -18.64%
1 Month 0.45% 0.47% 54.08% 21.12% -20.56%

Next earnings: July 16, 2026 (50 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan2.1%62.9%35
Feb-0.4%54.3%35
Mar1.4%54.3%35
Apr0.7%54.3%35
May0.7%52.9%34
Jun-0.4%55.9%34
Jul2.0%52.9%34
Aug0.3%61.8%34
Sep-0.7%44.1%34
Oct1.1%44.1%34
Nov-0.6%47.1%34
Dec0.4%58.8%34

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.07% 45.1% 1629
Tuesday 0.07% 44.9% 1778
Wednesday 0.01% 43.0% 1776
Thursday -0.01% 43.5% 1743
Friday 0.09% 46.1% 1733

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 117.6%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.3%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings2
Net Value+N/A
Net Shares Change-13,432
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings0
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Trimberger Lisa G -$241,965.12 1 2 sell
HAWKINS PHILIP L -$181,100.275 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-09-18 Trimberger Lisa G -$241,965.12 Transaction at $30.62, now +5.7%
2026-02-24 HAWKINS PHILIP L -$181,100.275 Transaction at $32.71, now -1.0%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for COPT Defense Properties (CDP) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for CDP on Trend Edge →