CARL — Carlsmed, Inc. Common Stock

✨ Hidden Gem Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Carlsmed, Inc. Common Stock

Carlsmed, Inc., a commercial-stage medical technology company, designs, manufactures, and markets AI-enabled personalized spine surgery solutions. The company develops aprevo, a comprehensive technology platform for spine fusion surgery procedures. Its aprevo platform includes proprietary surgical planning software, using outcomes-based algorithms that are aided with artificial intelligence, and resulting custom-built, anatomically designed verte… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$11.72
Market Cap$344M
Float9.9M
Shares Outstanding27.2M
Price/Sales (TTM)6.09
Profit Margin-57.76%
Operating Margin (TTM)-57.56%
Revenue (TTM)$56.4M
Dividend RateNone

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2023 $13.8M -$18.9M $9.9M -$18.1M
2024 $27.2M -$24.3M $20.0M -$22.8M
2025 $50.5M -$30.2M $38.0M -$28.5M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $12.1M -$6.8M
Sep 2025 $13.1M -$8.5M
Dec 2025 $15.2M -$9.2M
Mar 2026 $16.1M -$8.7M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership43.5%
Institutional Ownership39.7%
Short Float6.8%
% of All Funds Holding0.71%
Number of Funds Holding58

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$10.36Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$12.31Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$0.00Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$0.00Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$12.49Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$0.00Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$0.00Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$9.00 support 1.81x 0 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (4 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 3.23% 4.11% 75.00% 7.23% -2.56%
1 Day 5.29% 4.56% 50.00% 14.89% -2.85%
1 Week 3.58% 4.00% 50.00% 14.69% -8.38%
2 Weeks 8.23% 6.03% 75.00% 31.95% -11.08%
1 Month -6.69% -2.70% 33.33% 6.81% -24.17%

Next earnings: July 24, 2026 (57 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 39.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 43.5%

Founder-led management: Michael John Cordonnier (Co-Founder, Chairman, CEO & President), Niall Patrick Casey (Co-Founder, Chief Intellectual Property Officer & Director)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings6
Net Value-$2.4M
Net Shares Change23,129,227
% of Float233.4%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Mittendorff Robert II +$20.0M 1 1 buy
B CAPITAL GROUP MANAGEMENT, L.P. +$20.0M 1 1 buy
ROOT JONATHAN D +$7.0M 1 1 buy
Cordonnier Michael CEO, President -$2.4M 1 1 sell
YOUNG PHILIP M +$899,985 1 1 buy
Sidow Kevin +$199,995 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-07-24 – 2025-07-24 5 5 +$48.1M

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-03-04 Cordonnier Michael CEO, President -$2.4M Transaction at $6.98, now +67.8%
2025-07-24 Mittendorff Robert II +$20.0M Transaction at $15.00, now -21.9%
2025-07-24 B CAPITAL GROUP MANAGEMENT, L.P. +$20.0M Transaction at $15.00, now -21.9%
2025-07-24 ROOT JONATHAN D +$7.0M Transaction at $15.00, now -21.9%
2025-07-24 YOUNG PHILIP M +$899,985 Transaction at $15.00, now -21.9%
2025-07-24 Sidow Kevin +$199,995 Transaction at $15.00, now -21.9%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Carlsmed, Inc. Common Stock (CARL) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for CARL on Trend Edge →