Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.
Burford Capital Limited provides legal finance products and services worldwide. The company operates in two segments, Principal Finance, and Asset Management and Other Services. The Principal Finance segment provides capital against the underlying value of high-value single or multiple litigation and arbitration matters at any stage of the process from before filing to after a final judgment has been entered; and to a law firm that has agreed to … Read full Trend Edge analysis →
| Current Price | $4.53 |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | $1.02B |
| Float | 186.9M |
| Shares Outstanding | 219.1M |
| P/E (Forward) | 9.68 |
| Price/Sales (TTM) | 2.94 |
| vs. Analyst Target | +91.5% to analyst PT |
| Operating Margin (TTM) | 91.26% |
| Revenue (TTM) | -$1.45B |
| Earnings Growth (YoY) | 62.50% |
| Dividend Rate | 0.1% |
| Analyst Target Price | $8.67 (5 analysts) |
| Year | Revenue | Net Income | Gross Profit | EBITDA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $317M | $143M | $312M | $219M |
| 2021 | $108M | -$28.8M | $51.7M | $6.0M |
| 2022 | $271M | $30.5M | $196M | $113M |
| 2023 | $1.08B | $611M | $1.06B | $821M |
| 2024 | $472M | $146M | $341M | $254M |
| 2025 | $340M | $62.6M | $194M | $84.0M |
| Quarter | Revenue | Net Income |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 2025 | $175M | $88.3M |
| Sep 2025 | $53.3M | -$19.2M |
| Dec 2025 | $5.9M | -$37.5M |
| Mar 2026 | -$1.66B | -$1.63B |
| Insider Ownership | 9.1% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | 80.1% |
| Short Float | 6.6% |
| % of All Funds Holding | 2.53% |
| Number of Funds Holding | 208 |
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
| Timeframe | SMA | Value | Trend Context |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weekly | 10-Week SMA | $4.97 | Near-term / short-term trend |
| Weekly | 40-Week SMA | $8.87 | Medium-term trend |
| Weekly | 80-Week SMA | $11.17 | Cyclical trend (business cycle) |
| Weekly | 200-Week SMA | $11.81 | Secular trend (multi-year) |
| Monthly | 10-Month SMA | $8.65 | Near-term monthly trend |
| Monthly | 20-Month SMA | $11.14 | Medium-term monthly trend |
| Monthly | 40-Month SMA | $12.34 | Secular monthly trend |
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
| Price Level | Type | Volume Ratio | Age |
|---|---|---|---|
| $4.50 | support | 1.39x | 0 months ago |
| $4.90 | resistance | 1.12x | 0 months ago |
| $8.20 | resistance | 2.50x | 1 months ago |
| $11.90 | resistance | 1.64x | 6 months ago |
| $13.60 | resistance | 1.10x | 7 months ago |
| Timeframe | Avg Return | Median | Win Rate | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gap | -0.90% | 0.08% | 52.63% | 3.91% | -19.95% |
| 1 Day | -1.14% | -0.86% | 36.84% | 4.45% | -8.34% |
| 1 Week | -4.53% | -5.54% | 21.05% | 6.35% | -14.98% |
| 2 Weeks | -3.85% | -6.00% | 22.22% | 11.16% | -14.38% |
| 1 Month | -5.30% | -6.06% | 22.22% | 63.10% | -46.95% |
Next earnings: June 16, 2026 (20 days away)
Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).
| Day | Avg Return | Win Rate | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | 0.03% | 45.2% | 261 |
| Tuesday | 0.08% | 52.1% | 290 |
| Wednesday | 0.05% | 49.3% | 288 |
| Thursday | -0.27% | 44.6% | 280 |
| Friday | 0.06% | 48.0% | 281 |
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 80.1%
Total insider ownership: 9.1%
Founder-led management: Christopher Bogart (Co-Founder, CEO & Director), Jonathan Molot (Co-Founder & Chief Investment Officer), Elizabeth O'Connell (Chief Strategy Officer)
| Total Filings | 4 |
|---|---|
| Net Value | -$6.5M |
| Net Shares Change | -444,500 |
| % of Float | -0.2% |
| C-Suite Filings | 4 |
| Clusters Detected | 1 |
| Name | Title | Net Value | Filings | Activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOGART CHRISTOPHER P | Chief Executive Officer | -$3.1M | 1 | N/A |
| Molot Jonathan Todd | Chief Investment Officer | -$3.1M | 1 | N/A |
| Will Aviva O. | President | -$255,412.5 | 1 | N/A |
| Perla David | Vice Chair | -$102,165 | 1 | N/A |
| Period | Filings | Insiders | Net Value | Seniority |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-11 – 2025-07-11 | 4 | 4 | -$6.5M | 4 C-suite |
| Date | Insider | Title | Net Value | Price After |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-11 | BOGART CHRISTOPHER P | Chief Executive Officer | -$3.1M | Transaction at $14.60, now -69.0% |
| 2025-07-11 | Will Aviva O. | President | -$255,412.5 | Transaction at $14.60, now -69.0% |
| 2025-07-11 | Perla David | Vice Chair | -$102,165 | Transaction at $14.60, now -69.0% |
| 2025-07-11 | Molot Jonathan Todd | Chief Investment Officer | -$3.1M | Transaction at $14.60, now -69.0% |
Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Burford Capital Ltd (BUR) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).
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Get the full AI Consult analysis for BUR on Trend Edge →