AVO — Mission Produce Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates AVO Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 40, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction40
Actionability0 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Mission Produce Inc

Mission Produce, Inc. engages in the sourcing, farming, packaging, marketing, and distribution of avocados, mangoes, and blueberries to food retailers, wholesalers, and foodservice customers in the United States and internationally. The company operates through three segments, Marketing and Distribution; International Farming; and Blueberries. It also provides ripening, bagging, custom packing, logistical management, and quality assurance service… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$13.33
Market Cap$1.18B
Float55.5M
Shares Outstanding88.3M
P/E (Forward)15.87
P/E (TTM)41.72
Price/Sales (TTM)0.95
vs. Analyst Target+23.8% to analyst PT
Profit Margin1.83%
Operating Margin (TTM)-0.21%
Revenue (TTM)$1.25B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-4.20%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$16.50 (2 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $862M $28.8M $125M $86.5M
2021 $892M $44.9M $125M $94.4M
2022 $1.05B -$34.6M $89.8M $4.4M
2023 $954M -$2.8M $83.3M $43.5M
2024 $1.23B $36.7M $153M $111M
2025 $1.39B $37.7M $161M $106M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jul 2025 $358M $14.7M
Oct 2025 $319M $16.0M
Jan 2026 $279M -$700,000
Apr 2026 $291M -$7.2M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership36.3%
Institutional Ownership32.7%
Short Float7.6%
% of All Funds Holding1.89%
Number of Funds Holding155

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$11.91Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$12.68Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$12.18Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$11.91Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$12.67Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$12.30Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$11.65Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$13.90 resistance 1.48x 1 months ago
$14.40 resistance 1.25x 17 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (24 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.20% 0.81% 54.17% 13.72% -16.72%
1 Day 0.22% 0.69% 58.33% 17.29% -15.20%
1 Week -0.07% -0.26% 50.00% 17.43% -19.85%
2 Weeks 0.14% 0.01% 50.00% 24.60% -20.60%
1 Month -1.66% -1.89% 47.83% 26.21% -21.11%

Next earnings: September 9, 2026 (58 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.08% 47.8% 270
Tuesday -0.07% 46.8% 299
Wednesday -0.01% 48.1% 297
Thursday 0.11% 54.0% 289
Friday 0.21% 54.2% 288

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 32.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 36.3%

Founder-led management: Steve Barnard (Founder, CEO & Director)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings23
Net Value-$60,650
Net Shares Change5,832,733
% of Float10.5%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Globalharvest Holdings Venture Ltd +$35.7M 3 4 buy
Taylor Bruce C. +$9.7M 4 5 buy
Pack Jay A +$3.0M 3 5 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-06-15 – 2026-06-29 7 3 +$12.2M 1 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-17 Pack Jay A +$2.1M Transaction at $11.34, now +17.5%
2026-06-15 Taylor Bruce C. +$1.9M Transaction at $11.15, now +19.6%
2026-06-15 Pack Jay A +$413,195.19 Transaction at $11.04, now +20.8%
2026-07-09 Globalharvest Holdings Venture Ltd +$15.8M Transaction at $13.41, now -0.6%
2026-07-08 Globalharvest Holdings Venture Ltd +$8.3M Transaction at $12.73, now +4.7%
2026-06-17 Taylor Bruce C. +$3.5M Transaction at $11.29, now +18.0%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Mission Produce Inc (AVO) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for AVO on Trend Edge →