ATEC — Alphatec Holdings Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates ATEC Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 20, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction20
Actionability0 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Alphatec Holdings Inc

Alphatec Holdings, Inc., a medical technology company, designs, develops, and advances technologies for the surgical treatment of spinal disorders in the United States and internationally. The company manufactures and sells implants, instruments, imaging equipment, and spare parts. It offers Alpha InformatiX product platform, including EOS imaging system that provides full-body imaging; SafeOp Neural InformatiX System that automates electromyogra… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$9.58
Market Cap$1.46B
Float121.5M
Shares Outstanding153.8M
P/E (Forward)370.37
Price/Sales (TTM)1.86
vs. Analyst Target+74.6% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-15.93%
Operating Margin (TTM)-11.48%
Revenue (TTM)$787M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$16.73 (10 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $145M -$79.0M $103M -$54.8M
2021 $243M -$143M $158M -$107M
2022 $351M -$151M $233M -$103M
2023 $482M -$187M $310M -$111M
2024 $612M -$162M $424M -$53.9M
2025 $764M -$143M $532M -$39.7M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $186M -$41.1M
Sep 2025 $197M -$28.6M
Dec 2025 $213M -$21.7M
Mar 2026 $192M -$33.9M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership20.5%
Institutional Ownership77.3%
Short Float10.2%
% of All Funds Holding3.25%
Number of Funds Holding267

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$8.41Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$13.98Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$13.05Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$12.46Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$13.77Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$12.84Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$12.61Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$9.80 resistance 1.64x 1 months ago
$13.30 resistance 1.02x 3 months ago
$21.00 resistance 1.65x 5 months ago
$5.60 support 1.43x 20 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (80 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.22% 0.00% 47.50% 24.20% -42.99%
1 Day -1.21% 0.00% 47.50% 39.68% -45.93%
1 Week -2.55% -3.26% 38.75% 67.44% -55.43%
2 Weeks -2.75% -4.83% 40.00% 55.34% -55.15%
1 Month -2.65% -1.30% 44.30% 77.94% -58.72%

Next earnings: July 30, 2026 (19 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-0.3%55.0%20
Feb-0.9%60.0%20
Mar3.2%60.0%20
Apr2.9%40.0%20
May-4.2%40.0%20
Jun6.0%65.0%20
Jul-0.7%40.0%20
Aug-1.2%50.0%20
Sep2.2%40.0%20
Oct5.1%55.0%20
Nov-1.0%50.0%20
Dec4.9%65.0%20

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.02% 45.4% 947
Tuesday 0.00% 46.7% 1036
Wednesday -0.07% 46.6% 1036
Thursday 0.13% 46.1% 1016
Friday 0.24% 48.4% 1011

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 77.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 20.5%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings48
Net Value-$34.4M
Net Shares Change-5,560,798
% of Float-4.6%
C-Suite Filings30
Clusters Detected5

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Rydin Jeffrey P -$3.9M 1 1 sell
Lish Scott CHIEF OPERATING OFFICER -$3.8M 3 3 sell
Marshall Tyson Eliot GENERAL COUNSEL & CORP. SEC. -$1.4M 1 1 sell
Valentine Keith +$996,192 1 1 buy
Hunsaker Craig E EVP, PEOPLE & CULTURE -$679,050.56 1 1 sell
Demski David M -$636,000 1 1 sell
MCGINNIS KAREN K -$48,460.5 1 N/A
Sponsel David EVP, SALES -$21,192.6 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-08-05 – 2025-08-15 4 3 -$2.4M 4 C-suite
2025-10-28 – 2025-11-05 4 4 -$8.9M 3 C-suite
2025-11-14 – 2025-11-26 10 6 -$43.2M 2 C-suite
2025-12-03 – 2025-12-12 11 10 -$25.9M 6 C-suite
2026-03-08 – 2026-03-17 5 5 -$8.8M 5 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-11 Valentine Keith +$996,192 Transaction at $7.38, now +29.8%
2026-03-17 Lish Scott CHIEF OPERATING OFFICER -$3.2M Transaction at $12.30, now -22.1%
2025-11-21 Marshall Tyson Eliot GENERAL COUNSEL & CORP. SEC. -$1.4M Transaction at $19.51, now -50.9%
2026-06-12 MCGINNIS KAREN K -$48,460.5 Transaction at $8.01, now +19.6%
2025-12-12 Hunsaker Craig E EVP, PEOPLE & CULTURE -$679,050.56 Transaction at $20.84, now -54.0%
2025-11-05 Rydin Jeffrey P -$3.9M Transaction at $19.32, now -50.4%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Alphatec Holdings Inc (ATEC) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for ATEC on Trend Edge →