ARES — Ares Management LP

✨ Hidden Gem Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates ARES Bullish with a Setup Score of 47, net conviction 26, actionability 86. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score47
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction26
Actionability86 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Ares Management LP

Ares Management Corporation operates as an alternative asset manager. Its Direct Lending Group segment provides financing solutions to small-to-medium sized companies. The company's Private Equity Group segment specializes in early venture, turnaround, mid venture, late venture, recapitalization, growth capital, middle market, mezzanine, distressed and growth buyouts. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$121.81
Market Cap$40.13B
Float215.9M
Shares Outstanding222.0M
P/E (Forward)19.92
P/E (TTM)54.31
Price/Sales (TTM)6.79
vs. Analyst Target+17.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin10.54%
Operating Margin (TTM)18.43%
Revenue (TTM)$5.91B
Earnings Growth (YoY)770.50%
Dividend Rate5.4%
Analyst Target Price$143.12 (15 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.76B $152M $997M $732M
2021 $4.21B $409M $3.05B $1.47B
2022 $3.06B $168M $1.56B $1.33B
2023 $3.63B $474M $2.15B $2.43B
2024 $3.88B $464M $2.15B $2.41B
2025 $6.47B $527M $4.84B $2.30B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $1.35B $137M
Sep 2025 $1.66B $289M
Dec 2025 $1.53B $143M
Mar 2026 $1.53B $143M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership11.3%
Institutional Ownership89.8%
Short Float8.4%
% of All Funds Holding9.16%
Number of Funds Holding753

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$124.03Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$134.88Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$152.53Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$129.06Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$131.70Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$151.28Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$138.14Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$104.00 support 1.17x 2 months ago
$149.00 resistance 1.98x 4 months ago
$175.00 resistance 1.02x 9 months ago
$192.00 resistance 1.02x 16 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (48 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.21% 0.00% 47.92% 5.58% -4.84%
1 Day 0.37% 0.01% 50.00% 7.97% -11.19%
1 Week 1.06% 0.96% 54.17% 12.00% -16.13%
2 Weeks 0.54% 0.34% 50.00% 17.92% -18.06%
1 Month 0.36% 1.67% 53.19% 28.57% -25.25%

Next earnings: July 31, 2026 (19 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan5.1%66.7%12
Feb1.3%66.7%12
Mar-1.8%41.7%12
Apr0.3%66.7%12
May4.2%75.0%12
Jun-0.9%46.2%13
Jul9.1%100.0%12
Aug-0.5%41.7%12
Sep-2.3%33.3%12
Oct0.9%41.7%12
Nov4.0%83.3%12
Dec0.5%75.0%12

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.04% 53.1% 574
Tuesday 0.06% 48.0% 631
Wednesday 0.16% 53.5% 628
Thursday 0.09% 50.7% 615
Friday 0.08% 51.5% 612

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 89.8%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 11.3%

Founder-led management: Antony Ressler (Co-Founder, Director & Executive Chairman), Michael Arougheti (Co-Founder, CEO & Director), Bennett Rosenthal (Co-Founder, Director & Partner)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings18
Net Value-$563M
Net Shares Change-2,627,290
% of Float-1.2%
C-Suite Filings16
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
RESSLER ANTONY P Co-Founder & Exec. Chairman -$309M 6 N/A
Arougheti Michael J Co-Founder and CEO -$97.1M 2 N/A
BHUTANI ASHISH +$1.3M 1 1 buy
Olian Judy D. +$59,726.4 1 1 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-02-10 BHUTANI ASHISH +$1.3M Transaction at $126.61, now -3.8%
2026-02-24 Olian Judy D. +$59,726.4 Transaction at $124.43, now -2.1%
2025-09-09 RESSLER ANTONY P Co-Founder & Exec. Chairman -$47.7M Transaction at $175.69, now -30.7%
2025-09-05 RESSLER ANTONY P Co-Founder & Exec. Chairman -$82.6M Transaction at $177.67, now -31.4%
2025-08-19 Arougheti Michael J Co-Founder and CEO -$51.7M Transaction at $185.88, now -34.5%
2025-11-25 Arougheti Michael J Co-Founder and CEO -$45.4M Transaction at $151.77, now -19.7%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Ares Management LP (ARES) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for ARES on Trend Edge →