Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.
Trend Edge Setup Score
Trend Edge rates ARES Bullish with a Setup Score of 25, net conviction 24, actionability 26. How the Setup Score works →
Total Setup Score
25
Directional Bias
Bullish
Net Conviction
24
Actionability
26 (in range)
Key signals behind this score
200wk Uptrend — trend only (sma 133 vs px 116)
Seasonal Tailwind — november med 5.4% (mag 2/3) · posClose 83.33% (rel 2/3) · n12 ×0.75 = 6
Founder-Led — founder/CEO led
Earnings Tailwind — ER in 24.155d · w1 med 0.9% (mag 1/3) · winRate 53.1% (rel 0/3) · n49
Hidden Gem — stWatch 954
About Ares Management LP
Ares Management Corporation operates as an alternative asset manager. Its Direct Lending Group segment provides financing solutions to small-to-medium sized companies. The company's Private Equity Group segment specializes in early venture, turnaround, mid venture, late venture, recapitalization, growth capital, middle market, mezzanine, distressed and growth buyouts. Read full Trend Edge analysis →
Sector: Financial Services
Industry: Asset Management
Exchange: NYSE
IPO Date: May 2, 2014
Headquarters: 1800 Avenue of the Stars, Los Angeles, CA, United States, 90067
Hidden Gem: Yes — undiscovered relative to its market cap tier
Founder-Led: Yes — Antony Ressler (Co-Founder, Director & Executive Chairman), Michael Arougheti (Co-Founder, CEO & Director), Bennett Rosenthal (Co-Founder, Director & Partner)
Key Metrics
Current Price
$117.22
Market Cap
$38.57B
Float
219.8M
Shares Outstanding
224.0M
P/E (Forward)
16.98
P/E (TTM)
53.58
Price/Sales (TTM)
7.34
vs. Analyst Target
+25.1% to analyst PT
Profit Margin
12.11%
Operating Margin (TTM)
9.47%
Revenue (TTM)
$5.25B
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6.50%
Dividend Rate
5.4%
Analyst Target Price
$146.65 (20 analysts)
Financial History
Annual Revenue & Earnings History
Year
Revenue
Net Income
Gross Profit
EBITDA
2020
$1.76B
$152M
$997M
$732M
2021
$4.21B
$409M
$3.05B
$1.47B
2022
$3.06B
$168M
$1.56B
$1.33B
2023
$3.63B
$474M
$2.15B
$2.43B
2024
$3.88B
$464M
$2.15B
$2.41B
2025
$6.47B
$527M
$4.84B
$2.30B
Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income
Quarter
Revenue
Net Income
Sep 2025
$1.66B
$289M
Dec 2025
$1.53B
$143M
Mar 2026
$1.53B
$143M
Jun 2026
$1.43B
$151M
Ownership & Float
Insider Ownership
11.2%
Institutional Ownership
93.5%
Short Float
7.1%
% of All Funds Holding
9.07%
Number of Funds Holding
798
Current Moving Averages
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
Timeframe
SMA
Value
Trend Context
Weekly
10-Week SMA
$131.70
Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly
40-Week SMA
$126.68
Medium-term trend
Weekly
80-Week SMA
$145.54
Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly
200-Week SMA
$132.86
Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly
10-Month SMA
$123.26
Near-term monthly trend
Monthly
20-Month SMA
$143.11
Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly
40-Month SMA
$140.93
Secular monthly trend
Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume
creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative
volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
Price Level
Type
Volume Ratio
Age
$104.00
support
1.17x
5 months ago
$149.00
resistance
1.98x
7 months ago
$175.00
resistance
1.02x
12 months ago
$192.00
resistance
1.02x
19 months ago
Historical Earnings Reactions (49 events)
Timeframe
Avg Return
Median
Win Rate
Best
Worst
Gap
-0.21%
0.00%
46.94%
5.58%
-4.84%
1 Day
0.33%
0.00%
48.98%
7.97%
-11.19%
1 Week
1.03%
0.93%
53.06%
12.00%
-16.13%
2 Weeks
0.63%
0.75%
51.02%
17.92%
-18.06%
1 Month
0.46%
2.16%
54.17%
28.57%
-25.25%
Next earnings: November 2, 2026 (23 days away)
Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns
Monthly Seasonality
Month
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Jan
5.1%
66.7%
12
Feb
1.3%
66.7%
12
Mar
-1.8%
41.7%
12
Apr
0.3%
66.7%
12
May
4.2%
75.0%
12
Jun
-0.9%
46.2%
13
Jul
9.5%
100.0%
13
Aug
0.5%
46.2%
13
Sep
-3.6%
30.8%
13
Oct
0.9%
41.7%
12
Nov
4.0%
83.3%
12
Dec
0.5%
75.0%
12
Day-of-Week Tendencies
Day
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Monday
0.05%
52.9%
586
Tuesday
0.06%
47.8%
644
Wednesday
0.13%
52.7%
641
Thursday
0.09%
51.0%
628
Friday
0.08%
51.8%
625
Top Institutional Holders
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 93.5%
Insider Transactions — Smart Summary
Total insider ownership: 11.2%
Founder-led management: Antony Ressler (Co-Founder, Director & Executive Chairman), Michael Arougheti (Co-Founder, CEO & Director), Bennett Rosenthal (Co-Founder, Director & Partner)
Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Ares Management LP
(ARES) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model.
The analysis covers five layers:
technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum,
volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals),
qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics),
insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions),
share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and
fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).
AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit,
stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward.
Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup,
AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.