AHCO — Adapthealth Corp

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates AHCO Bullish with a Setup Score of 50, net conviction 31, actionability 82. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score50
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction31
Actionability82 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Adapthealth Corp

AdaptHealth Corp., together with its subsidiaries, distributes home medical equipment (HME), medical supplies, and home and related services in the United States. It operates through Sleep Health, Respiratory Health, Diabetes Health, and Wellness at Home segments. The company offers sleep therapy equipment, supplies, and related services, such as continuous positive airway pressure and BiLevel services to individuals suffering from obstructive sl… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$10.29
Market Cap$1.38B
Float85.6M
Shares Outstanding136.1M
P/E (Forward)11.96
Price/Sales (TTM)0.42
vs. Analyst Target+32.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-2.42%
Operating Margin (TTM)0.67%
Revenue (TTM)$3.29B
Earnings Growth (YoY)6.70%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$13.63 (8 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.06B -$162M $158M -$82.2M
2021 $2.45B $156M $446M $544M
2022 $2.97B $69.3M $417M $631M
2023 $3.20B -$679M $682M -$171M
2024 $3.26B $90.4M $681M $628M
2025 $3.24B -$70.8M $569M $504M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $592M $14.7M
Sep 2025 $603M $24.5M
Dec 2025 $846M -$103M
Mar 2026 $820M -$16.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership8.1%
Institutional Ownership106.7%
Short Float8.7%
% of All Funds Holding2.69%
Number of Funds Holding221

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$10.25Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$10.36Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$9.85Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$11.33Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$10.37Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$10.03Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$10.13Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$13.10 resistance 1.26x 1 months ago
$9.30 support 1.52x 3 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (32 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.20% 0.00% 46.88% 3.38% -5.98%
1 Day 0.34% 0.25% 53.13% 10.89% -15.47%
1 Week 2.27% 0.20% 53.13% 24.05% -14.54%
2 Weeks 0.53% 0.26% 53.13% 20.12% -18.32%
1 Month 3.74% 2.92% 67.74% 27.76% -27.18%

Next earnings: August 4, 2026 (21 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan3.2%75.0%8
Feb0.9%50.0%8
Mar3.3%50.0%8
Apr-9.1%25.0%8
May0.3%50.0%8
Jun3.7%77.8%9
Jul6.1%75.0%8
Aug-1.6%50.0%8
Sep-2.9%50.0%8
Oct4.6%75.0%8
Nov-1.4%50.0%8
Dec5.3%62.5%8

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.03% 40.5% 383
Tuesday 0.13% 44.0% 420
Wednesday -0.02% 41.3% 416
Thursday 0.04% 47.2% 409
Friday 0.18% 44.3% 409

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 106.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 8.1%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings9
Net Value-$186,587.5
Net Shares Change4,966,286
% of Float5.8%
C-Suite Filings3
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
OEP VII GP, L.L.C. +$24.4M 1 1 buy
CASHIN RICHARD M JR +$24.4M 2 2 buy
Schuster III Russell E. Chief Commercial Officer -$231,137.5 2 N/A
Williams David Solomon III -$126,936 2 2 sell
WOLF DALE B +$71,680 1 1 buy
Rew Richard W. II CLO and General Counsel +$44,550 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-02-27 – 2026-03-12 3 3 +$20.0M 1 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-02-27 Rew Richard W. II CLO and General Counsel +$44,550 Transaction at $8.91, now +15.5%
2026-03-30 OEP VII GP, L.L.C. +$24.4M Transaction at $9.76, now +5.4%
2026-03-12 CASHIN RICHARD M JR +$19.9M Transaction at $9.73, now +5.8%
2026-03-03 WOLF DALE B +$71,680 Transaction at $8.96, now +14.8%
2026-03-23 CASHIN RICHARD M JR +$4.4M Transaction at $9.91, now +3.8%
2025-08-22 Williams David Solomon III -$79,786 Transaction at $9.73, now +5.8%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Adapthealth Corp (AHCO) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for AHCO on Trend Edge →