AHCO — Adapthealth Corp

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates AHCO Bearish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 34, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction34
Actionability0 (extended)

Key signals behind this score

About Adapthealth Corp

AdaptHealth Corp., together with its subsidiaries, distributes home medical equipment (HME), medical supplies, and home and related services in the United States. It operates through Sleep Health, Respiratory Health, Diabetes Health, and Wellness at Home segments. The company offers sleep therapy equipment, supplies, and related services, such as continuous positive airway pressure and BiLevel services to individuals suffering from obstructive sl… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$5.79
Market Cap$789M
Float85.8M
Shares Outstanding136.1M
P/E (Forward)7.78
Price/Sales (TTM)0.23
vs. Analyst Target+57.9% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-6.79%
Operating Margin (TTM)0.84%
Revenue (TTM)$3.36B
Earnings Growth (YoY)6.70%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$9.14 (8 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.06B -$162M $158M -$82.2M
2021 $2.45B $156M $446M $544M
2022 $2.97B $69.3M $417M $631M
2023 $3.20B -$679M $682M -$171M
2024 $3.26B $90.4M $681M $628M
2025 $3.24B -$70.8M $569M $504M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $603M $24.5M
Dec 2025 $846M -$103M
Mar 2026 $820M -$16.0M
Jun 2026 $740M -$134M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership8.1%
Institutional Ownership108.8%
Short Float9.4%
% of All Funds Holding2.67%
Number of Funds Holding235

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$8.67Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$10.10Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$9.66Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$10.94Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$10.10Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$9.87Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$9.99Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$10.90 resistance 2.82x 0 months ago
$13.10 resistance 1.26x 3 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (33 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.21% 0.00% 48.48% 3.38% -5.98%
1 Day 0.23% 0.19% 51.52% 10.89% -15.47%
1 Week 1.78% 0.20% 51.52% 24.05% -14.54%
2 Weeks 0.04% 0.11% 51.52% 20.12% -18.32%
1 Month 3.06% 2.24% 65.63% 27.76% -27.18%

Next earnings: October 23, 2026 (55 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan3.2%75.0%8
Feb0.9%50.0%8
Mar3.3%50.0%8
Apr-9.1%25.0%8
May0.3%50.0%8
Jun3.7%77.8%9
Jul5.8%77.8%9
Aug-1.6%50.0%8
Sep-2.9%50.0%8
Oct4.6%75.0%8
Nov-1.4%50.0%8
Dec5.3%62.5%8

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.05% 40.8% 390
Tuesday 0.07% 44.4% 426
Wednesday -0.03% 41.2% 422
Thursday 0.01% 46.7% 415
Friday 0.19% 44.8% 415

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 108.8%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 8.1%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings10
Net Value-$186,587.5
Net Shares Change5,017,986
% of Float5.9%
C-Suite Filings3
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
OEP VII GP, L.L.C. +$24.4M 1 1 buy
CASHIN RICHARD M JR +$24.4M 2 2 buy
Schuster III Russell E. Chief Commercial Officer -$231,137.5 2 N/A
WOLF DALE B +$197,680 2 2 buy
SAMET KENNETH A +$149,930 1 1 buy
Williams David Solomon III -$47,150 1 1 sell
Rew Richard W. II CLO and General Counsel +$44,550 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-02-27 – 2026-03-12 3 3 +$20.0M 1 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-14 WOLF DALE B +$126,000 Transaction at $6.30, now -8.1%
2026-08-10 SAMET KENNETH A +$149,930 Transaction at $6.38, now -9.2%
2026-03-30 OEP VII GP, L.L.C. +$24.4M Transaction at $9.76, now -40.7%
2026-03-12 CASHIN RICHARD M JR +$19.9M Transaction at $9.73, now -40.5%
2026-03-03 WOLF DALE B +$71,680 Transaction at $8.96, now -35.4%
2026-03-23 CASHIN RICHARD M JR +$4.4M Transaction at $9.91, now -41.6%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Adapthealth Corp (AHCO) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for AHCO on Trend Edge →