ADGM — Adagio Medical Holdings, Inc Common Stock

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Adagio Medical Holdings, Inc Common Stock

Adagio Medical Holdings, Inc., a medical technology company, focuses on the development and commercialization of ablation technologies for the treatment of cardiac arrhythmias. It offers treatment for cardiac arrhythmias, including atrial fibrillation, and ventricular tachycardia. The company's product portfolio includes iCLAS atrial ultra-low temperature ablation (ULTA) catheter and system; vCLAS ventricular ULTC catheter; and Cryopulse pulsed f… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$0.77
Market Cap$18.8M
Float4.8M
Shares Outstanding22.2M
Price/Sales (TTM)205.85
Revenue (TTM)$137,000
Dividend RateNone

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 N/A -$13,539 N/A -$13,539
2021 $270,000 -$19.9M -$888,000 -$19.6M
2022 $189,000 -$23.7M -$686,000 -$23.0M
2023 $300,000 -$38.1M -$1.0M -$27.4M
2024 $269,000 -$53.8M -$1.7M -$62.5M
2025 N/A -$25.1M -$1.7M -$20.9M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 N/A -$3.9M
Sep 2025 N/A -$10.1M
Dec 2025 N/A -$3.3M
Mar 2026 N/A -$7.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership2.4%
Institutional Ownership43.1%
Short Float1.3%

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$1.13Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$1.18Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$1.25Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$0.00Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$1.14Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$1.28Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$0.00Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$1.20 resistance 1.20x 0 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (7 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 3.13% 2.46% 71.43% 10.24% -0.27%
1 Day -6.11% -3.28% 0.00% -0.39% -19.14%
1 Week -8.88% -3.82% 0.00% -2.46% -33.42%
2 Weeks 23.74% 14.15% 50.00% 119.48% -33.42%
1 Month 5.12% 8.24% 50.00% 55.36% -54.18%

Next earnings: July 31, 2026 (64 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 43.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 2.4%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings2
Net Value+$243,946.35
Net Shares Change222,315
% of Float4.6%
C-Suite Filings2
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Usen Todd Chief Executive Officer +$225,973.35 1 1 buy
Kaster Deborah Chief Financial Officer +$17,973 1 1 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-12-18 Kaster Deborah Chief Financial Officer +$17,973 Transaction at $1.20, now -35.7%
2025-12-15 Usen Todd Chief Executive Officer +$225,973.35 Transaction at $1.09, now -29.4%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Adagio Medical Holdings, Inc Common Stock (ADGM) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for ADGM on Trend Edge →