Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.
About Soleno Therapeutics Inc
Soleno Therapeutics, Inc., biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development and commercialization of novel therapeutics for the treatment of rare diseases. Its lead product candidate is VYKAT XR, an extended-release tablets for the treatment of Prader-Willi Syndrome. The company was formerly known as Capnia, Inc. and changed its name to Soleno Therapeutics, Inc. Read full Trend Edge analysis →
Sector: Healthcare
Industry: Biotechnology
Exchange: NASDAQ
IPO Date: November 13, 2014
Headquarters: 100 Marine Parkway, Redwood City, CA, United States, 94065
Founder-Led: Yes — Anish Bhatnagar (Chairman, President, CEO & COO)
Key Metrics
Current Price
$53.01
Market Cap
$2.76B
Float
48.6M
Shares Outstanding
52.1M
P/E (Forward)
13.11
P/E (TTM)
27.46
Price/Sales (TTM)
9.69
vs. Analyst Target
-0.0% to analyst PT
Profit Margin
33.70%
Operating Margin (TTM)
33.57%
Revenue (TTM)
$285M
Dividend Rate
None
Analyst Target Price
$53.00 (8 analysts)
Financial History
Annual Revenue & Earnings History
Year
Revenue
Net Income
Gross Profit
EBITDA
2020
N/A
-$24.6M
-$2.2M
-$22.4M
2021
N/A
-$30.9M
-$2.2M
-$30.3M
2022
N/A
-$24.1M
-$2.2M
-$22.1M
2023
N/A
-$39.0M
-$2.0M
-$37.0M
2024
N/A
-$176M
-$2.0M
-$174M
2025
$190M
$20.9M
$188M
$28.4M
Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income
Quarter
Revenue
Net Income
Jun 2025
$32.7M
-$4.7M
Sep 2025
$66.0M
$26.0M
Dec 2025
$91.7M
$43.4M
Mar 2026
$94.6M
$31.4M
Ownership & Float
Insider Ownership
1.3%
Institutional Ownership
116.7%
Short Float
13.4%
% of All Funds Holding
2.49%
Number of Funds Holding
205
Current Moving Averages
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
Timeframe
SMA
Value
Trend Context
Weekly
10-Week SMA
$45.35
Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly
40-Week SMA
$50.66
Medium-term trend
Weekly
80-Week SMA
$56.99
Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly
200-Week SMA
$35.86
Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly
10-Month SMA
$51.61
Near-term monthly trend
Monthly
20-Month SMA
$57.89
Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly
40-Month SMA
$43.02
Secular monthly trend
Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume
creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative
volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
Price Level
Type
Volume Ratio
Age
$34.10
support
3.07x
0 months ago
$68.00
resistance
1.59x
5 months ago
$85.00
resistance
1.59x
8 months ago
Historical Earnings Reactions (46 events)
Timeframe
Avg Return
Median
Win Rate
Best
Worst
Gap
-1.02%
-0.22%
36.96%
11.96%
-22.86%
1 Day
-1.41%
-2.02%
32.61%
27.08%
-26.59%
1 Week
-2.91%
-1.52%
32.61%
24.85%
-46.04%
2 Weeks
-3.74%
-4.26%
36.96%
42.50%
-47.26%
1 Month
-1.35%
-8.22%
34.78%
78.50%
-53.96%
Next earnings: May 6, 2026
Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns
Monthly Seasonality
Month
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Jan
2.6%
58.3%
12
Feb
23.4%
33.3%
12
Mar
-0.5%
58.3%
12
Apr
9.4%
50.0%
12
May
7.4%
54.5%
11
Jun
-7.1%
36.4%
11
Jul
-5.2%
36.4%
11
Aug
-1.5%
54.5%
11
Sep
41.0%
45.5%
11
Oct
-11.6%
27.3%
11
Nov
-1.3%
45.5%
11
Dec
5.2%
33.3%
12
Day-of-Week Tendencies
Day
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Monday
0.17%
43.8%
541
Tuesday
0.93%
46.6%
595
Wednesday
0.11%
42.1%
592
Thursday
0.08%
42.5%
579
Friday
-0.00%
44.3%
580
Top Institutional Holders
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 116.7%
Insider Transactions — Smart Summary
Total insider ownership: 1.3%
Founder-led management: Anish Bhatnagar (Chairman, President, CEO & COO)
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The analysis covers five layers:
technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum,
volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals),
qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics),
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share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and
fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).
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